Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co (002889) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥6.41 to ¥6.76 (+5.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.35 – ¥19.07 · fair‑value band ¥5.07 – ¥8.45 · the ¥11.99 price screens above the ¥6.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co (002889) currently trades at ¥11.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.76, implying the stock looks roughly 43.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 38.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at 484M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.07 (bear case) to ¥8.45 (bull case); at ¥11.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -44%, 002889 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.71) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.67). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides integrated supply chain management services in China and internationally. The company offers a range of services, including international freight forwarding, warehousing, customs clearance, procurement, distribution, and logistics solutions.
Full company description
Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides integrated supply chain management services in China and internationally. The company offers a range of services, including international freight forwarding, warehousing, customs clearance, procurement, distribution, and logistics solutions. It also provides value-added services, such as inventory management, order fulfillment, and transportation management. In addition, the company engages in investment; online trading; software development; small loan business; medical device storage; business consulting management; and liquor business. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥103M in FY2025, compounding −18.8%/yr from FY2021.
002889 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
Compare Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co (002889) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002889?
What is the quality score of 002889?
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co (002889)?
What is the net profit margin of 002889?
Does Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shenzhen Easttop Supply Chain Management Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.