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Lucky Harvest Co (002965) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.4B CNY

Price¥43.47
Fair Value¥14.65
Upside-66.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.08 – ¥18.22

Analysis

Lucky Harvest Co (002965) currently trades at ¥43.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of precision stamping dies and structural metal parts in China. Its products include progressive, transfer, and multiset tools for production of automobile metal structural parts and components; auto parts systems, such as body, battery, electronic, seating, new energy, and heat exchanger systems; CNC sheet metal parts for application in server cases, including communication equipment functional plug boxes or cabinets, charging pile shells, aerospace, and medical equipment, as well as office and electronic equipment structural parts comprising printers, copiers, projectors, etc.; and other products, including aviation products, and aviation and power distribution cabinets. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Dongguan City, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.