Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co (002996) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Our model range runs from ¥4.22 (bear) to ¥7.04 (bull), base ¥5.63. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 32/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.48 – ¥21.67 · fair‑value band ¥4.22 – ¥7.04 · the ¥6.27 price screens above the ¥5.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co (002996) currently trades at ¥6.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.63, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co generated revenue of 16.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at 6.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.22 (bear case) to ¥7.04 (bull case); at ¥6.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -10%, 002996 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥7.18) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of recycled aluminum alloy ingots in China. The company operates through Cast aluminum alloy, Deformed aluminum alloy, and Aluminum ash hazardous waste disposal segments.

Full company description

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of recycled aluminum alloy ingots in China. The company operates through Cast aluminum alloy, Deformed aluminum alloy, and Aluminum ash hazardous waste disposal segments. Its products are used for aluminum alloy castings and die-castings in the automobile, motorcycle, mechanical equipment, communication equipment, electronic appliances, hardware and lighting industries, and other industries. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co reported revenue of ¥16.0B in FY2025 versus ¥10.0B in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥222M in FY2025, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2021.

002996 screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.