Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co (003038) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY

Below-average quality, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (19/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The model range is unusually wide (¥7.72 to ¥29.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.58 – ¥52.32 · fair‑value band ¥7.72 – ¥29.71 · the ¥11.14 price screens below the ¥17.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co (003038) currently trades at ¥11.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.20, implying the stock looks roughly 54.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co generated revenue of 8.3B CNY at a net margin of -2.8%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.1%. Net debt stands at 4.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.72 (bear case) to ¥29.71 (bull case); at ¥11.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 54%, 003038 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥18.29) versus Asset-Based (¥7.75). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells aluminum alloy profiles. The company provides photovoltaic modules, such as stand base, structural guide rail, triangular chain, connector, tongs, and frames; front and rear bumper, fender assembly, aluminum alloy container, runner and end plate, motor aluminum shell, battery frame, energy storage …

Full company description

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells aluminum alloy profiles. The company provides photovoltaic modules, such as stand base, structural guide rail, triangular chain, connector, tongs, and frames; front and rear bumper, fender assembly, aluminum alloy container, runner and end plate, motor aluminum shell, battery frame, energy storage battery tray, spout structure, and power battery tray; rail transit parts; and architectural products comprising curtain wall, sunroom, railing, and door and window series. It also offers new EV aluminum parts, solar aluminum frames and mounting systems, recycled aluminum, and other aluminum products. Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is based in Tianchang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co reported revenue of ¥8.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound +33.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥192M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Aluminum · 82 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.