Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co (005300) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 1.0T KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 80,161 KRW (bear) to 133,602 KRW (bull), base 106,882 KRW. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 94,856 KRW – 180,687 KRW · fair‑value band 80,161 KRW – 133,602 KRW · the 102,600 KRW price screens below the 106,882 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co (005300) currently trades at 102,600 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 106,882 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co generated revenue of 4.0T KRW at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at 1.4T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 80,161 KRW (bear case) to 133,602 KRW (bull case); at 102,600 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 4%, 005300 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (151,009 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (28,349 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells soft drinks, liquor, fruit/vegetable drinks, grain drinks, and food and other beverages in Korea, the Philippines, Pakistan, the United States, Japan, China, Myanmar, Singapore, and Russia. It operates through Beverage and Liquor segments.
Full company description
Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells soft drinks, liquor, fruit/vegetable drinks, grain drinks, and food and other beverages in Korea, the Philippines, Pakistan, the United States, Japan, China, Myanmar, Singapore, and Russia. It operates through Beverage and Liquor segments. The company offers beverages, including carbonated drinks, juices, coffee, tea, functional drinks, spring water, and other products; and liquor products, including soju, beer, spirits, fruit liquor, cheongju, wine, and cooking wine products. It sells its products under the Chilsung Cider, Pepsi-Cola, Del Monte, Milkis, Cantata, HOT6ix, DAILY-C, ICIS, Let's Be, 2% Refreshing near water, Chum-Churum, Kloud, Chungha, Majuang, and Scotch Blue brand names. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co reported revenue of 4.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 2.5T KRW in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 47.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $87.05 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.02 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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