Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lotte Chilsung Beverage stock KRW 106,882, price KRW 111,000, that is 3.7% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 93,700 KRW – 180,687 KRW · fair‑value band 80,161 KRW – 156,390 KRW · the 111,000 KRW price screens above the 106,882 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Lotte Chilsung Beverage Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells soft drinks, liquor, fruit/vegetable drinks, grain drinks, and food and other beverages in Korea, the Philippines, Pakistan, the United States, Japan, China, Myanmar, Singapore, and Russia. It operates through Beverage and Liquor segments.
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The company offers beverages, including carbonated drinks, juices, coffee, tea, functional drinks, spring water, and other products; and liquor products, including soju, beer, spirits, fruit liquor, cheongju, wine, and cooking wine products.
It sells its products under the Chilsung Cider, Pepsi-Cola, Del Monte, Milkis, Cantata, HOT6ix, DAILY-C, ICIS, Let's Be, 2% Refreshing near water, Chum-Churum, Kloud, Chungha, Majuang, and Scotch Blue brand names. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) currently trades at 111,000 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 106,882 KRW, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 187,128 KRW per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 111,000 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 40,769 KRW, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 80,161 KRW (bear) to 156,390 KRW (bull), the price of 111,000 KRW sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lotte Chilsung Beverage reported revenue of 4.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 2.5T KRW in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 47.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0T KRW (≈ $755M) Small · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) 5,757 KRW · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −4%, 005300 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear80,161 KRWFair Value 106,882 KRWBull156,390 KRW
Price 111,000 KRW · Downside -3.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2,015 KRW per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.0% vs −4.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.2% a year for the price and +1.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Lotte Chilsung Beverage with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 80 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−3.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.5% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.65× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
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Is Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 106,882 KRW versus a price of 111,000 KRW, about 4% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 005300?
Our model-based fair value for Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 106,882 KRW (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 111,000 KRW.
What is the quality score of 005300?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 106,882 KRW (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 80,161 KRW, optimistic scenario 156,390 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lotte Chilsung Beverage stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 106,882 KRW, about 4% lower versus a price of 111,000 KRW (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 80,161 KRW, optimistic scenario 156,390 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0T KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Lotte Chilsung Beverage pay a dividend?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage currently shows a dividend yield of 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage pays a dividend of 3,400 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 30, 2026. The payout ratio is 59.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.86 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lotte Chilsung Beverage would have to grow free cash flow by +10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.0 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 005300 use?
Our models discount Lotte Chilsung Beverage at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lotte Chilsung Beverage that is +10.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lotte Chilsung Beverage grew +12.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lotte Chilsung Beverage (+10.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.83 %: that much free cash flow Lotte Chilsung Beverage produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lotte Chilsung Beverage it is 106,882 KRW per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 111,000 KRW. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lotte Chilsung Beverage stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 005300 trades above its calculated fair value: price 111,000 KRW, fair value 106,882 KRW, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 005300?
No. The price is what the market pays today (111,000 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (106,882 KRW). For Lotte Chilsung Beverage the two are 4,118 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lotte Chilsung Beverage worth?
The market values Lotte Chilsung Beverage at about 1.0T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 111,000 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 106,882 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 005300?
Our models span a range for Lotte Chilsung Beverage: cautious scenario 80,161 KRW, base 106,882 KRW, optimistic 156,390 KRW per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 111,000 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 005300?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 106,882 KRW is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.7. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 005300?
The PEG ratio of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 0.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lotte Chilsung Beverage (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 005300 from its 52-week high?
Lotte Chilsung Beverage trades at 111,000 KRW, about 23% below its 52-week high of 143,926 KRW and 18% above the low of 93,700 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 106,882 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lotte Chilsung Beverage?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lotte Chilsung Beverage stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 111,000 KRW, calculated fair value 106,882 KRW (−4%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 005300 calculated?
We run Lotte Chilsung Beverage through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 106,882 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lotte Chilsung Beverage itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 111,000 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 106,882 KRW, about 4% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lotte Chilsung Beverage right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (80,161 KRW to 156,390 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lotte Chilsung Beverage
How large is the market capitalisation of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The market capitalisation of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 1.0T KRW (≈ $755M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Earnings per share at Lotte Chilsung Beverage are 5,757 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The dividend yield of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 3.1% (payout 59.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The net margin of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
The operating margin of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Revenue at Lotte Chilsung Beverage is growing +2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300)?
Earnings per share at Lotte Chilsung Beverage are growing −4.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lotte Chilsung Beverage (005300) carry?
The net debt of Lotte Chilsung Beverage is 1.4T KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026