Asian Citrus Holdings (0073) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$31.3M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.63 to HK$2.61 (+59.7%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −6.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 38% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$1.72 to HK$3.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.40 – HK$78.58 · fair‑value band HK$1.72 – HK$3.26 · the HK$1.89 price screens below the HK$2.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Asian Citrus Holdings (0073) currently trades at HK$1.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.61, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asian Citrus Holdings generated revenue of HK$81.8M at a net margin of -23.1%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.8%. Net debt stands at HK$2.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.72 (bear case) to HK$3.26 (bull case); at HK$1.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 38%, 0073 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Asian Citrus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, plants, cultivates, and sells agricultural produce in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Plantation Business, Fruit Distribution Business, Air-Conditioners Distribution Business, and Sales and Distribution of Consumables and Others Business segments.
Full company description
Asian Citrus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, plants, cultivates, and sells agricultural produce in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Plantation Business, Fruit Distribution Business, Air-Conditioners Distribution Business, and Sales and Distribution of Consumables and Others Business segments. It also engages in the distribution and installation of air-conditioners; and plantation, cultivation, and distribution of various fruits; sale of passion and other fruits; and provision of technology-related services and supply chain finance technology solution. Asian Citrus Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Asian Citrus Holdings reported revenue of HK$75.4M in FY2025 versus HK$205M in FY2021, a compound −22.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$24.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $84.69 | $59.83 | -29% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $110.94 | $53.53 | -52% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.96 | $37.94 | -67% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | -66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.27 | $6.00 | -87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $65.61 | $47.78 | -27% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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