K. Wah International Holdings (0173) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$6.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$1.38 to HK$1.22 (−11.6%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.6100 to HK$1.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.52 – HK$2.90 · fair‑value band HK$0.6100 – HK$1.84 · the HK$2.03 price screens above the HK$1.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
K. Wah International Holdings (0173) currently trades at HK$2.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, K. Wah International Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of -43.8%. Revenue declined 84.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at HK$7.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6100 (bear case) to HK$1.84 (bull case); at HK$2.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -40%, 0173 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$8.52) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.06). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
K. Wah International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment businesses in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company's property portfolio, including residential developments, hotels, serviced apartments, and retail premises.
Full company description
K. Wah International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment businesses in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company's property portfolio, including residential developments, hotels, serviced apartments, and retail premises. It also offers property management services to residential buildings, commercial facilities, office towers, and real estate complexes. In addition, the company provides financial, management, and decoration services. K. Wah International Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
K. Wah International Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2025 versus HK$16.2B in FY2021, a compound −40.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$869M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +2.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0173 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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