Mestron Holdings (0207) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Mestron Holdings MYR 0.13, price MYR 0.09, upside +50.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0750 MYR – 0.5500 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1279 MYR – 0.1280 MYR · the 0.0850 MYR price screens below the 0.1280 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mestron Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel poles in Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Korea, Myanmar, Maldives, the Philippines, and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: Investment Holding, Manufacturing, Trading, Renewable Energy, and Property.
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Mestron Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel poles in Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Korea, Myanmar, Maldives, the Philippines, and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: Investment Holding, Manufacturing, Trading, Renewable Energy, and Property. It offers standard octagonal, floodlighting, CCTV, mid-hinged, traffic light, solar lighting, and decorative street lighting poles, as well as high and stadium mast, and compound, column, and bollard lighting; 5G, smart, and camouflage telecommunication monopoles, as well as lattice telecommunication tower; and solar PV systems and biogas. The company also provides manufacturing, design, calculation, consultation, supply, and installation services; trades in outdoor lighting products and solar products; operates generation facilities to produce renewable energy; and engages in property development. In addition, it is involved in rental and leasing of machinery and equipment; and generation, supply, distribution, and transmission of electricity using waste gas from palm oil mill. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Puchong, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Mestron Holdings (0207) currently trades at 0.0850 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1280 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.1400 MYR per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.0850 MYR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0200 MYR, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1279 MYR (bear) to 0.1280 MYR (bull), the price of 0.0850 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mestron Holdings reported revenue of 141M MYR in FY2025 versus 58.4M MYR in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1M MYR in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 98.6M MYR (≈ $24.2M) · P/S ratio 0.74 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 3.3% · Revenue (TTM) 133M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) −22.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 51%, 0207 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1279 MYRFair Value 0.1280 MYRBull 0.1280 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −18%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+51% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mestron Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0207
Frequently asked questions
Is Mestron Holdings (0207) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1280 MYR versus a price of 0.0850 MYR, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0207?
Our model-based fair value for Mestron Holdings is 0.1280 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0850 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0207?
Mestron Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1280 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1279 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1280 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mestron Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1280 MYR, about +51% upside versus a price of 0.0850 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.1279 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1280 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Mestron Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 133M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mestron Holdings (0207)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mestron Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by -1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0207 use?
Our models discount Mestron Holdings at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mestron Holdings that is -1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mestron Holdings (0207) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mestron Holdings grew +20.0 % a year. The price currently implies -1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mestron Holdings (0207) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mestron Holdings (-1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.75 %: that much free cash flow Mestron Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mestron Holdings it is 0.1280 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.0850 MYR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mestron Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0207 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0850 MYR, fair value 0.1280 MYR, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0207?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0850 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1280 MYR). For Mestron Holdings the two are 0.0430 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mestron Holdings worth?
The market values Mestron Holdings at about 98.6M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.0850 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1280 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0207?
Our models span a range for Mestron Holdings: cautious scenario 0.1279 MYR, base 0.1280 MYR, optimistic 0.1280 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.0850 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mestron Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0207 from its 52-week high?
Mestron Holdings trades at 0.0850 MYR, about 61% below its 52-week high of 0.2200 MYR and 13% above the low of 0.0750 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1280 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mestron Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mestron Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.0850 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1280 MYR (+51%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0207 calculated?
We run Mestron Holdings through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1280 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mestron Holdings currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.0850 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1280 MYR, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mestron Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1279 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (0.1279 MYR to 0.1280 MYR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Mestron Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The market capitalisation of Mestron Holdings is 98.6M MYR (≈ $24.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mestron Holdings is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The net margin of Mestron Holdings is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mestron Holdings is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mestron Holdings is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mestron Holdings (0207)?
The operating margin of Mestron Holdings is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Revenue at Mestron Holdings is growing −22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mestron Holdings (0207)?
Earnings per share at Mestron Holdings are growing +137% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mestron Holdings (0207) carry?
The net debt of Mestron Holdings is 23.3M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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