Mestron Holdings (0207) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MY · Market cap 98.6M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 0.0360 MYR to 0.0600 MYR (+66.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0600 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0850 MYR – 0.5500 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0400 MYR – 0.0600 MYR · the 0.1000 MYR price screens above the 0.0600 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Mestron Holdings (0207) currently trades at 0.1000 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mestron Holdings generated revenue of 133M MYR at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at 23.3M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0400 MYR (bear case) to 0.0600 MYR (bull case); at 0.1000 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -40%, 0207 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.1200 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.0100 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mestron Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel poles in Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Korea, Myanmar, Maldives, the Philippines, and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: Investment Holding, Manufacturing, Trading, Renewable Energy, and Property.
Full company description
Mestron Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel poles in Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Australia, Singapore, Brunei, Korea, Myanmar, Maldives, the Philippines, and New Zealand. The company operates through five segments: Investment Holding, Manufacturing, Trading, Renewable Energy, and Property. It offers standard octagonal, floodlighting, CCTV, mid-hinged, traffic light, solar lighting, and decorative street lighting poles, as well as high and stadium mast, and compound, column, and bollard lighting; 5G, smart, and camouflage telecommunication monopoles, as well as lattice telecommunication tower; and solar PV systems and biogas. The company also provides manufacturing, design, calculation, consultation, supply, and installation services; trades in outdoor lighting products and solar products; operates generation facilities to produce renewable energy; and engages in property development. In addition, it is involved in rental and leasing of machinery and equipment; and generation, supply, distribution, and transmission of electricity using waste gas from palm oil mill. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Puchong, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mestron Holdings reported revenue of 141M MYR in FY2025 versus 58.4M MYR in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1M MYR in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.
0207 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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