CEKD Bhd (0238) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of CEKD Bhd MYR 0.55, price MYR 0.29, upside +93.0%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2650 MYR – 0.9071 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3500 MYR – 0.7900 MYR · the 0.2850 MYR price screens below the 0.5500 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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CEKD Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells die-cutting molds in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading segments. The company offers flat die-cutting molds, rotary die-cutting molds, embossing products, and other accessories; and customization services.
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CEKD Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells die-cutting molds in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading segments. The company offers flat die-cutting molds, rotary die-cutting molds, embossing products, and other accessories; and customization services. It also trades in related consumables, tools, and accessories. The company serves the paper printing and packaging, electrical and electronics, automotive, plastic packaging, textile, and leather industries. The company was formerly known as Print & Pack Solution Group Berhad and changed its name to CEKD Berhad in February 2020. CEKD Berhad was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
CEKD Bhd (0238) currently trades at 0.2850 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5500 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.6000 MYR per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 0.2850 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.2000 MYR, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.3500 MYR (bear) to 0.7900 MYR (bull), the price of 0.2850 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CEKD Bhd reported revenue of 37.1M MYR in FY2025 versus 28.2M MYR in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 6.4M MYR in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 55.5M MYR (≈ $13.6M) · P/E ratio 7.1 · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) 0.0400 MYR · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 17.4% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 93%, 0238 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.3500 MYRFair Value 0.5500 MYRBull 0.7900 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0184 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 25%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.1%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 14/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+104% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEKD Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0238
Frequently asked questions
Is CEKD Bhd (0238) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5500 MYR versus a price of 0.2850 MYR, about +93% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0238?
Our model-based fair value for CEKD Bhd is 0.5500 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2850 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0238?
CEKD Bhd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5500 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.7900 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CEKD Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5500 MYR, about +93% upside versus a price of 0.2850 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.7900 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
CEKD Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.1M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CEKD Bhd pay a dividend?
CEKD Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CEKD Bhd (0238)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CEKD Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -8.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0238 use?
Our models discount CEKD Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CEKD Bhd that is -8.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CEKD Bhd (0238) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CEKD Bhd grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies -8.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CEKD Bhd (0238) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CEKD Bhd (-8.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.87 %: that much free cash flow CEKD Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CEKD Bhd it is 0.5500 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.2850 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CEKD Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0238 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.2850 MYR, fair value 0.5500 MYR, a gap of about +93% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0238?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2850 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5500 MYR). For CEKD Bhd the two are 0.2650 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CEKD Bhd worth?
The market values CEKD Bhd at about 55.5M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.2850 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5500 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0238?
Our models span a range for CEKD Bhd: cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, base 0.5500 MYR, optimistic 0.7900 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.2850 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0238?
CEKD Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5500 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Balance-sheet figures for CEKD Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0238 from its 52-week high?
CEKD Bhd trades at 0.2850 MYR, about 20% below its 52-week high of 0.3541 MYR and 8% above the low of 0.2650 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5500 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CEKD Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CEKD Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.2850 MYR, calculated fair value 0.5500 MYR (+93%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0238 calculated?
We run CEKD Bhd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5500 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CEKD Bhd currently trades 93 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.2850 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.5500 MYR, about +93% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CEKD Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.3500 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (0.3500 MYR to 0.7900 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of CEKD Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The market capitalisation of CEKD Bhd is 55.5M MYR (≈ $13.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CEKD Bhd is 1.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Earnings per share at CEKD Bhd are 0.0400 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The dividend yield of CEKD Bhd is 5.3% (payout 37.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The net margin of CEKD Bhd is 17.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CEKD Bhd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CEKD Bhd is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CEKD Bhd (0238)?
The operating margin of CEKD Bhd is 24.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Revenue at CEKD Bhd is growing +20.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CEKD Bhd (0238)?
Earnings per share at CEKD Bhd are growing +41.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does CEKD Bhd (0238) hold?
CEKD Bhd holds more cash than debt, 3.2M MYR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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