National United Resources Holdings (0254) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$72.3M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0800 to HK$0.0500 (−37.5%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (10/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1020 – HK$2.45 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0700 · the HK$0.1390 price screens above the HK$0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
National United Resources Holdings (0254) currently trades at HK$0.1390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 10/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, National United Resources Holdings generated revenue of HK$82.1M at a net margin of -78.4%. Revenue declined 38.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -81.1%. Net debt stands at HK$170M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0400 (bear case) to HK$0.0700 (bull case); at HK$0.1390, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at -64%, 0254 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 14 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
National United Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides car rental services. It offers shuttle services between workplaces and schools, and residential communities for employees and students of institutional customers; and vehicle rental services.
Full company description
National United Resources Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides car rental services. It offers shuttle services between workplaces and schools, and residential communities for employees and students of institutional customers; and vehicle rental services. The company also provides car rental with chauffeur for business and leisure travel, and large government events based on vehicle capacity, types of vehicles, point-to-point services, contracted bespoke services, and routes and shuttle arrangement services. In addition, it offers transportation logistics, resource management, and planning services. National United Resources Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
National United Resources Holdings reported revenue of HK$104M in FY2024 versus HK$135M in FY2020, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$60.1M in FY2024.
0254 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with United Rentals, Inc →
Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 98 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,129 | $449.86 | -60% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $80.55 | $65.76 | -18% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $150.25 | $301.51 | +101% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $262.96 | $109.71 | -58% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.68 | €25.90 | +122% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$34.71 | R$37.01 | +7% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$27.95 | C$15.06 | -46% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$74.40 | HK$18.61 | -75% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $177.56 | $140.90 | -21% |
| Avis Budget Group CAR | $139.58 | $158.11 | +13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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