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China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China International Development Corporation Ltd stock HK$0.75, price HK$1.30, that is 42.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical HK · ISIN KYG2121T1094

CI China International Development Corporation Ltd logo Thin data Nov 14, 2026

China International Development Corporation Ltd

0264 · HK

Far too expensive (fair value 42% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Revenue last quarter +117% vs. a year ago. 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.3 %/yr in HKD) 
Negative equity (buybacks among others) 
Fair value HK$0.7500 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 35/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Loss-making · -29.8% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/7) 
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data 
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

HK$3.19 HK$0.5300 Fair Value HK$0.7500 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5300 – HK$3.19 · fair‑value band HK$0.5700 – HK$0.9400 · the HK$1.30 price screens above the HK$0.7500 fair value. As of Nov 14, 2026.

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Company profile

China International Development Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and distribution of leather products in Hong Kong, the United States, Mainland China, Europe, and internationally.

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The company operates in three segments, Leather Manufacturing Business, Leather Retail Business, and Automobile Services Business. It also retails of fashion apparel, footwear, and leather accessories.

In addition, the company engages in industrial hemp planting; production of hemp fabric products; and provision of automobile services.

Further, it engages in the manufacturing and trading of leather products; retail of fashion apparel, footwear, and leather accessories; and provision of automobile services. Additionally, it operates stores under the AREA 0264 name and Teepee leather workshop.

The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China International Development Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Waterfront Holding Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) currently trades at HK$1.30, while our estimate is HK$0.7500, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.5700 (bear) to HK$0.9400 (bull), the price of HK$1.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

China International Development Corporation Ltd reported revenue of HK$59.3M in FY2025 versus HK$49.2M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$15.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$612M (≈ $78.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 7.67 · Net margin −26.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −75.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −27.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$80.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +117% · Free cash flow −HK$18.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0264 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.5700 Fair Value HK$0.7500 Bull HK$0.9400
Price HK$1.30 · Downside -42.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 71
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 45
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 5
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+170.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−43.5% (2020) → −28.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0264 screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with NIKE, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −39.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −29.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −27.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 116.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 7.64× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.18 ¥29.20 +140% vs 0264
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $86.82 $176.31 +103% vs 0264
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥36.91 ¥51.22 +39% vs 0264
Crocs, Inc CROX $163.72 $219.85 +34% vs 0264
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $36.30 $48.00 +32% vs 0264
NIKE, Inc NKE $37.99 $34.42 −9% vs 0264
PUMA SE PUM €26.03 €22.17 −15% vs 0264
On Holding ONON $33.63 $26.48 −21% vs 0264
adidas AG ADS €177.65 €126.17 −29% vs 0264
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $42.00 $22.21 −47% vs 0264

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China International Development Corporation Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China International Development Corporation Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0264

Frequently asked questions

Is China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.7500 versus a price of HK$1.30, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0264?
Our estimate for China International Development Corporation Ltd is HK$0.7500 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.30.
What is the quality score of 0264?
China International Development Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.7500 (as of Nov 14, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$0.9400. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the China International Development Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.7500, about 42% lower versus a price of HK$1.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$0.9400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
China International Development Corporation Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$80.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China International Development Corporation Ltd it is HK$0.7500 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of HK$1.30.
Is China International Development Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 0264 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.30, fair value HK$0.7500, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0264?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7500). For China International Development Corporation Ltd the two are HK$0.5450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China International Development Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values China International Development Corporation Ltd at about HK$612M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0264?
Our models span a range for China International Development Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5700, base HK$0.7500, optimistic HK$0.9400 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price HK$1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Balance-sheet figures for China International Development Corporation Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0264 from its 52-week high?
China International Development Corporation Ltd trades at HK$1.30, about 51% below its 52-week high of HK$2.63 and 15% above the low of HK$1.13 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China International Development Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, adidas AG, On Holding, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China International Development Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price HK$1.30, calculated fair value HK$0.7500 (−42%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. China International Development Corporation Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$1.30. Our estimate is HK$0.7500, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China International Development Corporation Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.9400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of China International Development Corporation Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The market capitalisation of China International Development Corporation Ltd is HK$612M (≈ $78.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China International Development Corporation Ltd is 7.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The net margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −26.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −75.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The operating margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −27.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Revenue at China International Development Corporation Ltd is growing 117% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) generate?
The free cash flow of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −HK$18.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) hold?
China International Development Corporation Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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