China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what China International Development Corporation Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.5300 – HK$3.19 · fair‑value band HK$2.56 – HK$3.09 · the HK$1.58 price screens below the HK$2.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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China International Development Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and distribution of leather products in Hong Kong, the United States, Mainland China, Europe, and internationally. The company operates in three segments, Leather Manufacturing Business, Leather Retail Business, and Automobile Services Business.
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China International Development Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and distribution of leather products in Hong Kong, the United States, Mainland China, Europe, and internationally. The company operates in three segments, Leather Manufacturing Business, Leather Retail Business, and Automobile Services Business. It also retails of fashion apparel, footwear, and leather accessories. In addition, the company engages in industrial hemp planting; production of hemp fabric products; and provision of automobile services. Further, it engages in the manufacturing and trading of leather products; retail of fashion apparel, footwear, and leather accessories; and provision of automobile services. Additionally, it operates stores under the AREA 0264 name and Teepee leather workshop. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China International Development Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of Waterfront Holding Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) currently trades at HK$1.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.77, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$2.56 (bear) to HK$3.09 (bull), the price of HK$1.58 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China International Development Corporation Ltd reported revenue of HK$59.3M in FY2025 versus HK$49.2M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$15.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$745M (≈ $94.9M) · P/S ratio 9.53 · Net margin −26.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −75.6% · Operating margin −34.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$80.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +117% · Free cash flow −HK$18.9M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at 76%, 0264 screens cheaper than that median.
Notify me when 0264 reaches fair value
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Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+170.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−43.5% (2020) → −28.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+75.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−44.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−29.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−34.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth116.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.18× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 51
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China International Development Corporation Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0264
Frequently asked questions
Is China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.77 versus a price of HK$1.58, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0264?
Our model-based fair value for China International Development Corporation Ltd is HK$2.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.58.
What is the quality score of 0264?
China International Development Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$2.56, optimistic scenario HK$3.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China International Development Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.77, about +76% upside versus a price of HK$1.58 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$2.56, optimistic scenario HK$3.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
China International Development Corporation Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$80.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China International Development Corporation Ltd it is HK$2.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of HK$1.58. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China International Development Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0264 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.58, fair value HK$2.77, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0264?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.77). For China International Development Corporation Ltd the two are HK$1.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China International Development Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values China International Development Corporation Ltd at about HK$745M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.58; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0264?
Our models span a range for China International Development Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario HK$2.56, base HK$2.77, optimistic HK$3.09 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price HK$1.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Balance-sheet figures for China International Development Corporation Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0264 from its 52-week high?
China International Development Corporation Ltd trades at HK$1.58, about 40% below its 52-week high of HK$2.63 and 39% above the low of HK$1.13 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China International Development Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, On Holding, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China International Development Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price HK$1.58, calculated fair value HK$2.77 (+76%), Quality Score 32/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0264 calculated?
We run China International Development Corporation Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China International Development Corporation Ltd currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.58. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.77, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China International Development Corporation Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of China International Development Corporation Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The market capitalisation of China International Development Corporation Ltd is HK$745M (≈ $94.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China International Development Corporation Ltd is 9.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The net margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −26.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −75.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
The operating margin of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −34.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264)?
Revenue at China International Development Corporation Ltd is growing +117% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) generate?
The free cash flow of China International Development Corporation Ltd is −HK$18.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China International Development Corporation Ltd (0264) hold?
China International Development Corporation Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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