Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wellspire Holdings Berhad MYR 0.20, price MYR 0.63, upside -68.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range 0.3550 MYR – 0.9700 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1800 MYR – 0.2200 MYR · the 0.6300 MYR price screens above the 0.2000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wellspire Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution of consumer packaged foods in Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore. It offers snack food products, such as sunflower seeds, as well as other seeds, nuts, and baked and confectionery products; and trades biomass fuel products.
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Wellspire Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution of consumer packaged foods in Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore. It offers snack food products, such as sunflower seeds, as well as other seeds, nuts, and baked and confectionery products; and trades biomass fuel products. The company also provides management consultancy services. It sells its products under the ChaCha, Miyu, and Cundo brands, as well as third-party brands. The company also operates as an online retailer of consumer packaged foods. It distributes its products through convenience stores, hypermarkets, and supermarkets, and wholesalers. Wellspire Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) currently trades at 0.6300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 215.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.2400 MYR per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.6300 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0600 MYR, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1800 MYR (bear) to 0.2200 MYR (bull), the price of 0.6300 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Wellspire Holdings Berhad reported revenue of 159M MYR in FY2025 versus 137M MYR in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2M MYR in FY2025, compounding −17.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 449M MYR (≈ $110M) · P/S ratio 2.92 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.5% · Operating margin 4.7% · Revenue (TTM) 155M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) −10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −68%, 0271 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1800 MYRFair Value 0.2000 MYRBull 0.2200 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 8%
2025 sits 97% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.2% a year for the price.
Compare Wellspire Holdings Berhad with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF12.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA6.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)27· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 67
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2000 MYR versus a price of 0.6300 MYR, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0271?
Our model-based fair value for Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 0.2000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0271?
Wellspire Holdings Berhad has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2200 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wellspire Holdings Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2000 MYR, about −68% upside versus a price of 0.6300 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2200 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Wellspire Holdings Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 155M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wellspire Holdings Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by +32.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0271 use?
Our models discount Wellspire Holdings Berhad at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wellspire Holdings Berhad that is +32.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wellspire Holdings Berhad grew +5.9 % a year. The price currently implies +32.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wellspire Holdings Berhad (+32.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.97 %: that much free cash flow Wellspire Holdings Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wellspire Holdings Berhad it is 0.2000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.6300 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wellspire Holdings Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0271 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.6300 MYR, fair value 0.2000 MYR, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0271?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2000 MYR). For Wellspire Holdings Berhad the two are 0.4300 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wellspire Holdings Berhad worth?
The market values Wellspire Holdings Berhad at about 449M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.6300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2000 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0271?
Our models span a range for Wellspire Holdings Berhad: cautious scenario 0.1800 MYR, base 0.2000 MYR, optimistic 0.2200 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.6300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wellspire Holdings Berhad (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0271 from its 52-week high?
Wellspire Holdings Berhad trades at 0.6300 MYR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 0.6900 MYR and 11% above the low of 0.5700 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2000 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wellspire Holdings Berhad?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wellspire Holdings Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.6300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2000 MYR (−68%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0271 calculated?
We run Wellspire Holdings Berhad through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2000 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Wellspire Holdings Berhad itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.6300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2000 MYR, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wellspire Holdings Berhad right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2200 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Wellspire Holdings Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The market capitalisation of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 449M MYR (≈ $110M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 2.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The net margin of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 23.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
The operating margin of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Revenue at Wellspire Holdings Berhad is growing −10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271)?
Earnings per share at Wellspire Holdings Berhad are growing −78.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wellspire Holdings Berhad (0271) carry?
The net debt of Wellspire Holdings Berhad is 4.2M MYR (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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