KGW Group Berhad (0282) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of KGW Group Berhad MYR 0.10, price MYR 0.11, upside -0.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 0.0850 MYR – 0.2850 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0855 MYR – 0.1046 MYR · the 0.1050 MYR price screens above the 0.1046 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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KGW Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides logistics services in Malaysia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Logistics Services Providers, Warehousing and Distribution, and Investment Holding.
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KGW Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides logistics services in Malaysia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Logistics Services Providers, Warehousing and Distribution, and Investment Holding. It offers ocean freight shipping/full container load shipping/ocean freight forwarding, container load, freight forwarding, trucking/local door delivery, truckload freight, and haulage and other supporting services; customized solutions; and air freight and shipping services to local and foreign exporters and importers, and freight forwarders. The company also engages in customs brokerage, and warehousing and distribution of healthcare-related products and devices. Further, it recommends maritime insurance products to its customers. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
KGW Group Berhad (0282) currently trades at 0.1050 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1046 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.0700 MYR per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the 0.1050 MYR price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 0.0500 MYR, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0855 MYR (bear) to 0.1046 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1050 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
KGW Group Berhad reported revenue of 105M MYR in FY2025 versus 195M MYR in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 315K MYR in FY2025, compounding −62.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 50.7M MYR (≈ $12.4M) · P/S ratio 0.43 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.4% · Operating margin 4.7% · Revenue (TTM) 101M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 0%, 0282 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0855 MYRFair Value 0.1046 MYRBull 0.1046 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−48.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 0%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KGW Group Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0282
Frequently asked questions
Is KGW Group Berhad (0282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1046 MYR versus a price of 0.1050 MYR, about −0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0282?
Our model-based fair value for KGW Group Berhad is 0.1046 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1050 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0282?
KGW Group Berhad has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1046 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0855 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1046 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KGW Group Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1046 MYR, about −0% upside versus a price of 0.1050 MYR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.0855 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1046 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
KGW Group Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 101M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KGW Group Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by +11.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0282 use?
Our models discount KGW Group Berhad at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KGW Group Berhad that is +11.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KGW Group Berhad (0282) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KGW Group Berhad grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies +11.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KGW Group Berhad (0282) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KGW Group Berhad (+11.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.58 %: that much free cash flow KGW Group Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KGW Group Berhad it is 0.1046 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.1050 MYR. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KGW Group Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0282 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1050 MYR, fair value 0.1046 MYR, a gap of about −0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0282?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1050 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1046 MYR). For KGW Group Berhad the two are 0.0004 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KGW Group Berhad worth?
The market values KGW Group Berhad at about 50.7M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.1050 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1046 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0282?
Our models span a range for KGW Group Berhad: cautious scenario 0.0855 MYR, base 0.1046 MYR, optimistic 0.1046 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.1050 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Balance-sheet figures for KGW Group Berhad (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0282 from its 52-week high?
KGW Group Berhad trades at 0.1050 MYR, about 45% below its 52-week high of 0.1900 MYR and 24% above the low of 0.0850 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1046 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KGW Group Berhad?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KGW Group Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.1050 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1046 MYR (−0%), Quality Score 53/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0282 calculated?
We run KGW Group Berhad through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1046 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. KGW Group Berhad itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1050 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1046 MYR, about −0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KGW Group Berhad right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of KGW Group Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The market capitalisation of KGW Group Berhad is 50.7M MYR (≈ $12.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KGW Group Berhad is 0.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The net margin of KGW Group Berhad is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KGW Group Berhad is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KGW Group Berhad is 16.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The operating margin of KGW Group Berhad is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Revenue at KGW Group Berhad is growing −13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Earnings per share at KGW Group Berhad are growing +51.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does KGW Group Berhad (0282) carry?
The net debt of KGW Group Berhad is 860K MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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