KGW Group Berhad (0282) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of KGW Group Berhad stock MYR 0.11, price MYR 0.09, upside +30.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 19 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range 0.0800 MYR – 0.2850 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0935 MYR – 0.1445 MYR · the 0.0850 MYR price screens below the 0.1106 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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KGW Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides logistics services in Malaysia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Logistics Services Providers, Warehousing and Distribution, and Investment Holding.
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It offers ocean freight shipping/full container load shipping/ocean freight forwarding, container load, freight forwarding, trucking/local door delivery, truckload freight, and haulage and other supporting services; customized solutions; and air freight and shipping services to local and foreign exporters and importers, and freight forwarders.
The company also engages in customs brokerage, and warehousing and distribution of healthcare-related products and devices. Further, it recommends maritime insurance products to its customers. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
KGW Group Berhad (0282) currently trades at 0.0850 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1106 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 23% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.0650 MYR per share, and 1 of the 19 models we run sit above the 0.0850 MYR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0400 MYR, and 18 of the 19 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0935 MYR (bear) to 0.1445 MYR (bull), the price of 0.0850 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
KGW Group Berhad reported revenue of 105M MYR in FY2025 versus 195M MYR in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 315K MYR in FY2025, compounding −62.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 41.0M MYR (≈ $10.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.42 · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.4% · Revenue (TTM) 103M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 30%, 0282 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.0935 MYRFair Value 0.1106 MYRBull0.1445 MYR
Price 0.0850 MYR · Upside +30.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF0.0500 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0900 MYR81
Growth DCF0.0500 MYR0.0700 MYR0.0900 MYR80
Owner Earnings0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR76
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF0.0500 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0900 MYR81
Owner Earnings0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR76
5Y Revenue Exit0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0900 MYR72
5Y EBITDA Exit0.0300 MYR0.0500 MYR0.0700 MYR75
5Y P/E Exit0.0200 MYR0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR71
10Y Revenue Exit0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0700 MYR68
10Y EBITDA Exit0.0400 MYR0.0500 MYR0.0600 MYR70
10Y P/E Exit0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR0.0400 MYR65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Doddn/a0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR65
Multiples
P/E Multiple0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR0.0200 MYR60
P/S Multiple0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR58
P/B Multiple0.3300 MYR0.4500 MYR0.5600 MYR55
EV/EBITDA0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR0.0500 MYR67
EV/Revenue0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0800 MYR53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)0.0300 MYR0.0400 MYR0.0500 MYR55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF0.0500 MYR0.0700 MYR0.0900 MYR80
Rev-Margin DCF0.0400 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0900 MYR72
Economic Profit
Residual Income0.0600 MYR0.0600 MYR0.0700 MYR71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR0.0100 MYR68
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−48.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 0%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KGW Group Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0282
Frequently asked questions
Is KGW Group Berhad (0282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1106 MYR versus a price of 0.0850 MYR, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0282?
Our model-based fair value for KGW Group Berhad is 0.1106 MYR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0850 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0282?
KGW Group Berhad has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1106 MYR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0935 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1445 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KGW Group Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1106 MYR, about +30% upside versus a price of 0.0850 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.0935 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1445 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
KGW Group Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 103M MYR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KGW Group Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0282 use?
Our models discount KGW Group Berhad at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KGW Group Berhad that is +7.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KGW Group Berhad (0282) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KGW Group Berhad grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +7.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KGW Group Berhad (0282) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KGW Group Berhad (+7.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.66 %: that much free cash flow KGW Group Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KGW Group Berhad it is 0.1106 MYR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 0.0850 MYR. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is KGW Group Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 0282 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0850 MYR, fair value 0.1106 MYR, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0282?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0850 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1106 MYR). For KGW Group Berhad the two are 0.0256 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KGW Group Berhad worth?
The market values KGW Group Berhad at about 41.0M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 0.0850 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1106 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0282?
Our models span a range for KGW Group Berhad: cautious scenario 0.0935 MYR, base 0.1106 MYR, optimistic 0.1445 MYR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 0.0850 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Balance-sheet figures for KGW Group Berhad (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0282 from its 52-week high?
KGW Group Berhad trades at 0.0850 MYR, about 55% below its 52-week high of 0.1900 MYR and 6% above the low of 0.0800 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1106 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KGW Group Berhad?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KGW Group Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 0.0850 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1106 MYR (+30%), Quality Score 53/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0282 calculated?
We run KGW Group Berhad through 19 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.1106 MYR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. KGW Group Berhad currently trades 23% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.0850 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1106 MYR, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KGW Group Berhad right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0935 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of KGW Group Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The market capitalisation of KGW Group Berhad is 41.0M MYR (≈ $10.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KGW Group Berhad is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The net margin of KGW Group Berhad is 1.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KGW Group Berhad is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KGW Group Berhad is 16.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
The operating margin of KGW Group Berhad is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Revenue at KGW Group Berhad is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KGW Group Berhad (0282)?
Earnings per share at KGW Group Berhad are growing +51.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does KGW Group Berhad (0282) carry?
The net debt of KGW Group Berhad is 860K MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026