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KGW Group (0282) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 43.5M MYR

KG KGW Group 0282 · KLSE
Price0.0950 MYR
Fair Value0.1000 MYR
Upside+5.3%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range 0.0720 MYR – 0.1080 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 0.0428 MYR to 0.1000 MYR (+133.9%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 0.0720 MYR (bear) to 0.1080 MYR (bull), base 0.1000 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

0.2850 MYR 0.0900 MYR Fair Value 0.1000 MYR Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range 0.0900 MYR – 0.2850 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0720 MYR – 0.1080 MYR · the 0.0950 MYR price screens below the 0.1000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

KGW Group (0282) currently trades at 0.0950 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KGW Group generated revenue of 101M MYR at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0720 MYR (bear case) to 0.1080 MYR (bull case); at 0.0950 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 5%, 0282 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.0600 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0300 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 0.0800 MYR 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 0.0800 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0300 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0900 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1000 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0900 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1200 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 55
EV/EBITDA 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0800 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0500 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.1000 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 0.0800 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0600 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0300 MYR 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (0.0900 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.0100 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 101M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.4%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow 2.3M MYR FY2025
Operating margin 4.7%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +51.0%
Net debt 860K MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KGW Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides logistics services in Malaysia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Logistics Services Providers, Warehousing and Distribution, and Investment Holding.

Full company description

KGW Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides logistics services in Malaysia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Logistics Services Providers, Warehousing and Distribution, and Investment Holding. It offers ocean freight shipping/full container load shipping/ocean freight forwarding, container load, freight forwarding, trucking/local door delivery, truckload freight, and haulage and other supporting services; customized solutions; and air freight and shipping services to local and foreign exporters and importers, and freight forwarders. The company also engages in customs brokerage, and warehousing and distribution of healthcare-related products and devices. Further, it recommends maritime insurance products to its customers. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KGW Group reported revenue of 105M MYR in FY2025 versus 195M MYR in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 315K MYR in FY2025, compounding −62.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
105M MYR
Latest YoY
−21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Revenue −14.4%/yr
FY21 195M MYR
FY22 230M MYR
FY23 71.5M MYR
FY24 134M MYR
FY25 105M MYR
Net income −62.4%/yr
FY21 15.8M MYR
FY22 16.3M MYR
FY23 387K MYR
FY24 2.7M MYR
FY25 315K MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KGW Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0282

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +5% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 4 · sector 26
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KGW Group (0282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1000 MYR versus a price of 0.0950 MYR, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0282?
Our model-based fair value for KGW Group is 0.1000 MYR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.0950 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0282?
KGW Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KGW Group (0282)?
KGW Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 101M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0282?
The net profit margin of KGW Group is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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