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Sinofert Holdings (0297) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$9.0B

SH Sinofert Holdings 0297 · HK
PriceHK$1.30
Fair ValueHK$2.32
Upside+78.1%
Quality64/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.73 – HK$2.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$3.52 to HK$2.32 (−34.2%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 78% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.73). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.80 HK$0.6178 Fair Value HK$2.32 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6178 – HK$1.80 · fair‑value band HK$1.73 – HK$2.89 · the HK$1.30 price screens below the HK$2.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinofert Holdings (0297) currently trades at HK$1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.32, implying the stock looks roughly 78.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinofert Holdings generated revenue of HK$23.3B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.73 (bear case) to HK$2.89 (bull case); at HK$1.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 78%, 0297 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.88 HK$7.10 HK$12.27 80
Residual Income HK$1.43 HK$1.62 HK$2.82 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.21 HK$5.34 HK$9.80 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$4.11 HK$6.16 HK$12.53 38
Owner Earnings HK$3.32 HK$6.97 HK$14.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.95 HK$4.71 HK$8.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.97 HK$4.75 HK$8.24 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.10 HK$6.14 HK$10.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.25 HK$6.38 HK$8.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.35 HK$6.43 HK$11.59 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.45 HK$6.70 HK$11.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.22 HK$8.50 HK$11.93 54
Lynch FV HK$4.39 HK$6.27 HK$8.16 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$4.39 HK$6.27 HK$8.16 46
EPV HK$1.91 HK$2.16 HK$2.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6600 HK$1.31 HK$1.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6600 HK$1.13 HK$1.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.29 HK$3.05 HK$3.81 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.29 HK$3.05 HK$3.81 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.29 HK$3.05 HK$3.81 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.57 HK$3.31 HK$4.06 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.44 HK$3.14 HK$3.85 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.27 HK$3.10 HK$3.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8000 HK$1.07 HK$1.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.88 HK$7.10 HK$12.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.21 HK$5.34 HK$9.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.43 HK$1.62 HK$2.82 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.27 HK$3.03 HK$3.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.40 HK$7.72 HK$10.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$7.72) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$23.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow HK$1.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 0.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1600
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,372%
Net cash HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinofert Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production, import and export, distribution, and retail of fertilizer raw materials and crop nutrition products in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Basic Business, Growth Business, and Production segments.

Full company description

Sinofert Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production, import and export, distribution, and retail of fertilizer raw materials and crop nutrition products in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Basic Business, Growth Business, and Production segments. It offers potash; phosphate; bio-compound fertilizers; special and nitrogen fertilizers; sulfur, crop protection, and seeds; and monocalcium and dicalcium phosphate. The company also provides technological research and development, and services relating to crop nutrition business and products; trades in fertilizers; develops agriculture products; and manufactures and sells feeds. In addition, it explores for and exploits a phosphate mine and produces monodicalcium phosphate. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Sinofert Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Syngenta Group (Hk) Holdings Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinofert Holdings reported revenue of HK$23.3B in FY2025 versus HK$22.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.3B in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$23.3B
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 HK$22.6B
FY22 HK$23.0B
FY23 HK$21.7B
FY24 HK$21.3B
FY25 HK$23.3B
Net income +9.8%/yr
FY21 HK$867M
FY22 HK$1.1B
FY23 HK$626M
FY24 HK$1.1B
FY25 HK$1.3B

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Sinofert Holdings · Fair Value
HK$2.32 +78%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinofert Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0297

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +85% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 64 · sector 37
PAST 46 · sector 24
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 98 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinofert Holdings (0297) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.32 versus a price of HK$1.30, about +78% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0297?
Our model-based fair value for Sinofert Holdings is HK$2.32 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.30.
What is the quality score of 0297?
Sinofert Holdings has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinofert Holdings (0297)?
Sinofert Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$23.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0297?
The net profit margin of Sinofert Holdings is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sinofert Holdings pay a dividend?
Sinofert Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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