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Nara Mold & Die Co (051490) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 35.1B KRW

NM Nara Mold & Die Co 051490 · KQ
Price2,795 KRW
Fair Value5,411 KRW
Upside+93.6%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range 4,080 KRW – 6,800 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 6,772 KRW to 5,411 KRW (−20.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 94% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,080 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

14,035 KRW 2,335 KRW Fair Value 5,411 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,335 KRW – 14,035 KRW · fair‑value band 4,080 KRW – 6,800 KRW · the 2,795 KRW price screens below the 5,411 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Nara Mold & Die Co (051490) currently trades at 2,795 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,411 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 93.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nara Mold & Die Co generated revenue of 181B KRW at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at 50.9B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4,080 KRW (bear case) to 6,800 KRW (bull case); at 2,795 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 94%, 051490 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 6,063 KRW 6,135 KRW 5,886 KRW 76
Growth-Adj P/E 4,805 KRW 6,864 KRW 8,923 KRW 68
P/E Multiple 6,274 KRW 8,365 KRW 10,457 KRW 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 2,853 KRW 3,339 KRW 4,038 KRW 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,709 KRW 6,629 KRW 8,578 KRW 54
PEG = 1.0 1,188 KRW 1,697 KRW 2,206 KRW 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6,274 KRW 8,365 KRW 10,457 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 5,079 KRW 6,772 KRW 8,465 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 5,079 KRW 6,772 KRW 8,465 KRW 55
EV/EBITDA 8,437 KRW 10,652 KRW 12,866 KRW 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3,949 KRW 5,292 KRW 7,899 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6,063 KRW 6,135 KRW 5,886 KRW 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 4,805 KRW 6,864 KRW 8,923 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (6,864 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (1,697 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 181B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 0.4%
Free cash flow −6.2B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -7.4%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +645%
Net debt 50.9B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nara Mold & Die Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of press dies, plastic molds, stamped parts, and assembly parts in South Korea. It offers press dies for torque converters, transmission tools, seat pan tools, thermal systems, break-boosters, chassis, and others for automobile applications, as well as for home appliances and motor core products.

Full company description

Nara Mold & Die Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of press dies, plastic molds, stamped parts, and assembly parts in South Korea. It offers press dies for torque converters, transmission tools, seat pan tools, thermal systems, break-boosters, chassis, and others for automobile applications, as well as for home appliances and motor core products. The company also provides injection molds for exterior and interior materials, thermal parts, and electric parts of automobiles; and injection molds for home appliances, displays, and others. In addition, it offers parts and components for transmission and engine, seat, fixed pedal assembly, cage and motor core, and other applications. The company exports its products to the United States, Mexico, Germany, France, Spain, Japan, India, Brazil, Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, Russia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Poland, and Slovakia. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Changwon-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nara Mold & Die Co reported revenue of 185B KRW in FY2025 versus 195B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
185B KRW
Latest YoY
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY21 195B KRW
FY22 218B KRW
FY23 231B KRW
FY24 204B KRW
FY25 185B KRW
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY21 3.6B KRW
FY22 9.7B KRW
FY23 8.8B KRW
FY24 3.6B KRW
FY25 5.3B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nara Mold & Die Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/051490

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 36
PAST 2 · sector 21
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nara Mold & Die Co (051490) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,411 KRW versus a price of 2,795 KRW, about +94% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 051490?
Our model-based fair value for Nara Mold & Die Co is 5,411 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,795 KRW.
What is the quality score of 051490?
Nara Mold & Die Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nara Mold & Die Co (051490)?
Nara Mold & Die Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 181B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 051490?
The net profit margin of Nara Mold & Die Co is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nara Mold & Die Co pay a dividend?
Nara Mold & Die Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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