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Le Saunda Holdings (0738) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$184M

LS Le Saunda Holdings 0738 · HK
PriceHK$0.3250
Fair ValueHK$0.4500
Upside+38.5%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -32.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3000 – HK$0.5600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3000 to HK$0.5600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.08 HK$0.2180 Fair Value HK$0.4500 Feb 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2180 – HK$1.08 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.5600 · the HK$0.3250 price screens below the HK$0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Le Saunda Holdings (0738) currently trades at HK$0.3250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4500, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Le Saunda Holdings generated revenue of HK$178M at a net margin of -32.8%. Revenue declined 42.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$271M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3000 (bear case) to HK$0.5600 (bull case); at HK$0.3250, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 38%, 0738 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.3200 HK$0.3400 HK$0.3800 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3200 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.5900 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3200 HK$0.3400 HK$0.3800 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3200 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.5900 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.3900) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.3400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$178M
Revenue growth (YoY) -42.8%
Net margin -32.8%
Return on equity -13.2%
Free cash flow −HK$40.0M FY2026
Operating margin -22.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) -96.2%
Net cash HK$271M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Le Saunda Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, trades in and sells footwear and accessories in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and retails ladies' and men's footwear, handbags, and fashionable accessories under the LE SAUNDA, le saunda MEN, LINEA ROSA, and LE SAUNDA YOUNG brand names.

Full company description

Le Saunda Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, trades in and sells footwear and accessories in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and retails ladies' and men's footwear, handbags, and fashionable accessories under the LE SAUNDA, le saunda MEN, LINEA ROSA, and LE SAUNDA YOUNG brand names. The company also holds properties; provides management services; and holds and licenses trademarks and names. In addition, it is involved in wholesale, retail, and trading of shoes. The company sells its products through online channels. Le Saunda Holdings Limited was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Le Saunda Holdings reported revenue of HK$171M in FY2026 versus HK$569M in FY2022, a compound −25.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$56.2M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$171M
Latest YoY
−41.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Revenue −25.9%/yr
FY22 HK$569M
FY23 HK$413M
FY24 HK$401M
FY25 HK$294M
FY26 HK$171M
Net income
FY22 HK$3.0M
FY23 −HK$50.3M
FY24 −HK$23.5M
FY25 −HK$101M
FY26 −HK$56.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Le Saunda Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0738

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -43% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 85 · sector 11
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $40.51 $35.63 -12%
adidas AG 1ADS €158.15 €65.71 -58%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $93.84 $125.16 +33%
On Holding ONON $30.91 $17.53 -43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥11.81 ¥13.03 +10%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $36.74 $44.59 +21%
Crocs, Inc CROX $130.61 $203.65 +56%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥36.73 ¥51.36 +40%
PUMA SE PUM €26.69 €10.57 -60%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$13.64 HK$4.04 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Le Saunda Holdings (0738) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4500 versus a price of HK$0.3250, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0738?
Our model-based fair value for Le Saunda Holdings is HK$0.4500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3250.
What is the quality score of 0738?
Le Saunda Holdings has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Le Saunda Holdings (0738)?
Le Saunda Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$178M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0738?
The net profit margin of Le Saunda Holdings is about -32.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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