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Jinmao Property Services Co (0816) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$2.0B

JP Jinmao Property Services Co 0816 · HK
PriceHK$2.38
Fair ValueHK$7.00
Upside+194.1%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.99% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range HK$5.25 – HK$8.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$6.99 to HK$7.00 (+0.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 194% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$5.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$4.97 HK$1.19 Fair Value HK$7.00 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range HK$1.19 – HK$4.97 · fair‑value band HK$5.25 – HK$8.75 · the HK$2.38 price screens below the HK$7.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jinmao Property Services Co (0816) currently trades at HK$2.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.00, implying the stock looks roughly 194.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jinmao Property Services Co generated revenue of HK$3.7B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$5.25 (bear case) to HK$8.75 (bull case); at HK$2.38, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 194%, 0816 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$9.77 HK$14.31 HK$20.74 80
Residual Income HK$1.90 HK$2.51 HK$7.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$7.36 HK$10.52 HK$14.55 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$9.87 HK$14.99 HK$22.66 38
Owner Earnings HK$5.44 HK$7.74 HK$11.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$7.36 HK$10.50 HK$14.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$7.07 HK$9.89 HK$13.26 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$7.40 HK$10.57 HK$14.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$8.13 HK$11.24 HK$15.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$8.07 HK$10.84 HK$14.69 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$8.27 HK$11.29 HK$15.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.27 HK$10.08 HK$13.80 54
Lynch FV HK$2.61 HK$3.73 HK$4.85 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.61 HK$3.73 HK$4.85 46
EPV HK$4.77 HK$5.18 HK$5.51 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.51 HK$6.02 HK$7.52 63
P/S Multiple HK$4.26 HK$5.68 HK$7.11 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.33 HK$3.11 HK$3.89 55
EV/EBIT HK$6.96 HK$8.67 HK$10.38 53
EV/EBITDA HK$5.75 HK$7.06 HK$8.37 54
EV/Revenue HK$5.97 HK$7.76 HK$9.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8600 HK$1.16 HK$1.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$9.77 HK$14.31 HK$20.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$7.36 HK$10.52 HK$14.55 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.90 HK$2.51 HK$7.55 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.77 HK$5.18 HK$5.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.94 HK$5.63 HK$7.32 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$10.57) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.5%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 18.9%
Free cash flow HK$700M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000
Dividend yield 7.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -36.9%
Net cash HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services, value-added services, and community value-added services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited, an investment holding company, provides property management services, value-added services, and community value-added services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers property management services for property owners and residents, and property developers; and security, cleaning, greening, and facilities and equipment maintenance. It offers property management services for residential communities, commercial, and office properties comprises office buildings and shopping malls, as well as public properties such as schools, government facilities, and other public spaces. The company also provides information technology development services; city operation services; and equipment operation and maintenance services for technological systems, such as energy heat pumps, fresh air units, and plate heat exchangers. In addition, it offers value-added services, including on-site sales assistance services, consultancy, and other value-added services to non-property owners; and community value-added services for daily lifestyle needs, which include platform services for interior decoration, community living services, community space operation services, and real estate brokerage services. The company was formerly known as Jinmao Property Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited in October 2021. Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Jinmao Property Services Co., Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jinmao Property Services Co reported revenue of HK$3.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound +23.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$302M in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.6B
Latest YoY
+20.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.5%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.4%
Revenue +23.9%/yr
FY21 HK$1.5B
FY22 HK$2.4B
FY23 HK$2.7B
FY24 HK$3.0B
FY25 HK$3.6B
Net income +14.2%/yr
FY21 HK$178M
FY22 HK$336M
FY23 HK$337M
FY24 HK$372M
FY25 HK$302M

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Jinmao Property Services Co · Fair Value
HK$7.00 +194%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jinmao Property Services Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0816

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 529 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +194% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 88 · sector 10
PAST 76 · sector 16
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jinmao Property Services Co (0816) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.00 versus a price of HK$2.38, about +194% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0816?
Our model-based fair value for Jinmao Property Services Co is HK$7.00 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.38.
What is the quality score of 0816?
Jinmao Property Services Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jinmao Property Services Co (0816)?
Jinmao Property Services Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0816?
The net profit margin of Jinmao Property Services Co is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jinmao Property Services Co pay a dividend?
Jinmao Property Services Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.99% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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