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0869 (0869) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$546M

0 0869 0869 · HK
PriceHK$0.4800
Fair ValueHK$0.9500
Upside+97.9%
Quality54/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.9200 – HK$0.9800

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.6000 HK$0.3950 Fair Value HK$0.9500 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range HK$0.3950 – HK$0.6000 · fair‑value band HK$0.9200 – HK$0.9800 · the HK$0.4800 price screens below the HK$0.9500 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

0869 (0869) currently trades at HK$0.4800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9500 — implying the stock looks roughly 97.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 0869 generated revenue of HK$512M at a net margin of -3.0%. Revenue declined 32.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$953M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$512M
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.8%
Net margin -3.0%
Return on equity -1.3%
Free cash flow HK$9.8M FY2025
Operating margin -1.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0200
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -74.3%
Net cash HK$953M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0869 reported revenue of HK$512M in FY2025 versus HK$625M in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$15.4M in FY2025.

Revenue −4.9%/yr
FY21 HK$625M
FY22 HK$504M
FY23 HK$1.1B
FY24 HK$931M
FY25 HK$512M
Net income
FY21 HK$43.0M
FY22 HK$9.7M
FY23 HK$224M
FY24 HK$132M
FY25 −HK$15.4M

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6 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Oriental Land Co OLCLF $15.65 $9.28 -41%
Pop Mart International Group PMRTY $20.47 $13.71 -33%
ANTA Sports Products Limited ANPDF $9.59 $8.98 -6%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $35.41 $19.60 -45%
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings NCBDY $11.23 $15.86 +41%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $84.39 $83.11 -2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 0869 (0869) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9500 versus a price of HK$0.4800 — about +98% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 0869?
Our model-based fair value for 0869 is HK$0.9500 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4800.
What is the quality score of 0869?
0869 has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 0869 (0869)?
0869 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$512M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0869?
The net profit margin of 0869 is about -3.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 0869 pay a dividend?
0869 currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.