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IPE Group (0929) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$663M

IG IPE Group 0929 · HK
PriceHK$0.5400
Fair ValueHK$0.4600
Upside-14.8%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3400 – HK$0.5600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2300 to HK$0.4600 (+100.0%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.3400 (bear) to HK$0.5600 (bull), base HK$0.4600. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.21 HK$0.3903 Fair Value HK$0.4600 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3903 – HK$1.21 · fair‑value band HK$0.3400 – HK$0.5600 · the HK$0.5400 price screens above the HK$0.4600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

IPE Group (0929) currently trades at HK$0.5400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4600, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, IPE Group generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$260M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3400 (bear case) to HK$0.5600 (bull case); at HK$0.5400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -15%, 0929 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.14 HK$1.02 HK$0.6600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6500 HK$0.7000 HK$0.7300 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.5100 HK$0.5600 HK$0.6400 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0700 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 54
EPV HK$0.6500 HK$0.7000 HK$0.7300 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2800 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.9200 HK$1.12 HK$1.31 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.73 HK$2.20 HK$2.67 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.7500 HK$0.9300 HK$1.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9000 HK$1.21 HK$1.80 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.14 HK$1.02 HK$0.6600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6500 HK$0.7000 HK$0.7300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.21) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.0%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow −HK$10.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 63.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.7%
Net cash HK$260M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IPE Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of precision metal components and assembled parts for use in automotive parts, hydraulic equipment, electronic equipment components, CNC lathes, and other devices. The company also manufactures and trades in intelligent equipment.

Full company description

IPE Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, sale, and trading of precision metal components and assembled parts for use in automotive parts, hydraulic equipment, electronic equipment components, CNC lathes, and other devices. The company also manufactures and trades in intelligent equipment. It serves multinational corporations in the information technology, fluid power, automotive, and electronic sectors. The company operates in Thailand, Malaysia, Mainland China, Macau, Hong Kong, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. IPE Group Limited is a subsidiary of Baoan Technology Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IPE Group reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$1.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$11.4M in FY2025, compounding −38.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.1B
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Revenue +1.3%/yr
FY21 HK$1.0B
FY22 HK$963M
FY23 HK$899M
FY24 HK$1.0B
FY25 HK$1.1B
Net income −38.8%/yr
FY21 HK$81.4M
FY22 HK$8.7M
FY23 HK$5.7M
FY24 HK$10.6M
FY25 HK$11.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −23.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.4 pp

of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin −11.5 pp
Tax rate −5.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −7.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

0929 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IPE Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0929

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 0
FUTURE 90 · sector 34
PAST 7 · sector 19
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is IPE Group (0929) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4600 versus a price of HK$0.5400, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0929?
Our model-based fair value for IPE Group is HK$0.4600 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5400.
What is the quality score of 0929?
IPE Group has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IPE Group (0929)?
IPE Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0929?
The net profit margin of IPE Group is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does IPE Group pay a dividend?
IPE Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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