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Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd HK$0.20, price HK$0.27, upside -24.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG5213K1004

KC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd

0936 · HK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value HK$0.2000 · Overvalued (−24.5%)
!Quality 55/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.08 HK$0.1000 Fair Value HK$0.2000 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1000 – HK$1.08 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2300 · the HK$0.2650 price screens above the HK$0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited is an investment holding company specializing in the trade of construction machinery and spare parts in Hong Kong, Singapore, and the People's Republic of China.

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Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited is an investment holding company specializing in the trade of construction machinery and spare parts in Hong Kong, Singapore, and the People's Republic of China. The company also leases various construction machinery under operating leases; and offers repair and maintenance services related to construction machinery. In addition, it engages in trading and sub-contracting construction projects. Further, the company offers property development services. The company was formerly known as Eagle Legend Asia Limited and changed its name to Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited in July 2021. Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) currently trades at HK$0.2650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2000, 24.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5700 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$0.2650 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1700 (bear) to HK$0.2300 (bull), the price of HK$0.2650 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$238M in FY2025 versus HK$215M in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.8M in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$281M (≈ $35.8M) · P/E ratio 25.0 · P/S ratio 0.72 · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 20.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 8.8% · Revenue (TTM) HK$238M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −25%, 0936 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1700 Fair Value HK$0.2000 Bull HK$0.2300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.9400 HK$1.34 80
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.9300 HK$1.27 79
Owner Earnings HK$0.4100 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6500 HK$0.9400 HK$1.34 80
Owner Earnings HK$0.4100 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3500 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5800 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.6500 HK$1.00 HK$1.39 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.3000 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4300 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4600 HK$0.5700 HK$0.7000 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.6500 HK$0.9400 HK$1.29 69
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.4300 HK$0.5200 HK$0.6000 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0400 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 65
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 57
EPV HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2100 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.7400 HK$0.9900 HK$1.24 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1800 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0400 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.9300 HK$1.27 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6000 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 70
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.7% a year for the price.

0936 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with United Rentals, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 91 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −24.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 7.29× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 79
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)82 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,044 $441.48 −58%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $75.06 $65.76 −12%
AerCap Holdings AER $149.21 $208.22 +40%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $60.97 $7.57 −88%
Ryder System, Inc R $233.93 $151.59 −35%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$23.85 C$21.30 −11%
GATX Corporation GATX $183.73 $129.05 −30%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$71.00 HK$146.00 +106%
EquipmentShare.com Inc EQPT $17.35 $3.89 −78%
Bohai Leasing Co 000415 ¥4.11 ¥8.22 +100%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0936

Frequently asked questions

Is Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2000 versus a price of HK$0.2650, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0936?
Our model-based fair value for Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2650.
What is the quality score of 0936?
Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2000, about −25% upside versus a price of HK$0.2650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$238M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0936 use?
Our models discount Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd that is -11.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd grew +10.7 % a year. The price currently implies -11.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (-11.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.18 %: that much free cash flow Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2650. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0936 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2650, fair value HK$0.2000, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0936?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2000). For Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd at about HK$281M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0936?
Our models span a range for Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1700, base HK$0.2000, optimistic HK$0.2300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0936?
Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.3, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 20.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0936 from its 52-week high?
Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2650, about 48% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5100 and 37% above the low of HK$0.1930 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2650, calculated fair value HK$0.2000 (−25%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0936 calculated?
We run Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.2650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2000, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The market capitalisation of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is HK$281M (≈ $35.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The net margin of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
The operating margin of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Revenue at Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is growing +5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936)?
Earnings per share at Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd are growing +5.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd (0936) carry?
The net debt of Kaisa Capital Investment Holdings Ltd is HK$176M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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