Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings (1121) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −35.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3300 – HK$16.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.2200 – HK$0.2700 · the HK$0.3300 price screens above the HK$0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings (1121) currently trades at HK$0.3300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$155M. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -94.8%. Net debt stands at HK$144M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2200 (bear case) to HK$0.2700 (bull case); at HK$0.3300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -27%, 1121 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.1900) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells footwear products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, South America, Europe, South East Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells footwear products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, South America, Europe, South East Asia, and internationally. It operates through Boree Branded Products, Graphene-based Products, Photovoltaic Products, and Original Equipment Manufacturer segments. The company offers slippers, sandals, and casual footwear under the Boree brand name. It also manufactures and sells graphene-based ethylene-vinyl acetate foam material and slippers, deodorizing and sterilizing chips for air purifiers and air conditioners, and graphene air sterilizers. In addition, the company produces slippers for branding and resale by others; and trades in slippers. Further, the company manufactures and sells cast monocrystalline silicon wafers and cast-mono heterojunction solar cells and modules, hybrid passivation back contact solar cells, HBC flexible modules and the bendable solar awnings. Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Quanzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings reported revenue of HK$155M in FY2025 versus HK$314M in FY2021, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$308M in FY2025.
1121 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $40.51 | $35.63 | -12% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €158.15 | €65.71 | -58% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $93.84 | $125.16 | +33% |
| On Holding ONON | $30.91 | $17.53 | -43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.81 | ¥13.03 | +10% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $36.74 | $44.59 | +21% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $130.61 | $203.65 | +56% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥36.73 | ¥51.36 | +40% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.69 | €10.57 | -60% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.64 | HK$4.04 | -70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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