Symphony Holdings (1223) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$3.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1700 to HK$0.4900). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7564 – HK$1.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.4900 · the HK$1.30 price screens above the HK$0.3200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Symphony Holdings (1223) currently trades at HK$1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Symphony Holdings generated revenue of HK$309M at a net margin of -10.7%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. Net debt stands at HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1700 (bear case) to HK$0.4900 (bull case); at HK$1.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -75%, 1223 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.5300) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Symphony Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the branding, retailing, and financial services business in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United States, other Asian countries, and internationally. It operates through Branding, Retailing, and Financial Services segments.
Full company description
Symphony Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the branding, retailing, and financial services business in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United States, other Asian countries, and internationally. It operates through Branding, Retailing, and Financial Services segments. The company is involved in the distribution of Japanese wine; sourcing, manufacturing, and trading of healthcare products; and development and management of SKINS trademarks. It also manages and operates outlet malls and fashion stores; and provides securities brokerage, margin financing, financial consulting, and money lending services. In addition, the company offers information technology, corporate, and portfolio management services; and accountancy, legal, secretarial, and cruiser services. Further, it engages in the trading, retailing, and distribution of swimming apparel and accessories; property investment; holding of club debentures; sub-licensing of trademark rights; manufactures and sales of alcoholic beverages and food; and trading and wholesaling of sportswear. Additionally, the company provides asset management and investment advisory services; operates park outlets; and owns sports brand of SKINS. The company was formerly known as Liang Shing (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Symphony Holdings Limited in 1997. Symphony Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Symphony Holdings reported revenue of HK$309M in FY2025 versus HK$323M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$32.9M in FY2025.
1223 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 128.80 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 66.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +8% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,591 | ₹645.21 | -59% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.74 | -63% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.55 SAR | 11.60 SAR | -34% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 54.08 | kr 70.70 | +31% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.94 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,954 CLP | 2,740 CLP | -31% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥23.19 | ¥4.60 | -80% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 52.49 MXN | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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