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Data-driven stock valuation

Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Symphony Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.30, price HK$1.25, that is 76.0% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · ISIN BMG5472K1898

SH Symphony Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Symphony Holdings Ltd

1223 · HK

Far too expensive (fair value 76% below the price) and falling price, but solid company: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Quality 62/100 
Low debt 
Generates free cash flow 
0.4% dividend yield · Cash covered
Revenue last quarter +17% vs. a year ago. 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.6 %/yr in HKD) 
Fair value HK$0.3000 · Strongly overvalued 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Loss-making · -8.9% net margin (TTM) 
Trails peers (3/13) 
Narrow moat 23/100
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.70 HK$0.7564 Fair Value HK$0.3000 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.7564 – HK$1.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.2400 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$1.25 price screens above the HK$0.3000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Symphony Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the branding, retailing, and financial services business in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United States, other Asian countries, and internationally.

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It operates through Branding, Retailing, and Financial Services segments. The company is involved in the distribution of Japanese wine; sourcing, manufacturing, and trading of healthcare products; and development and management of SKINS trademarks.

It also manages and operates outlet malls and fashion stores; and provides securities brokerage, margin financing, financial consulting, and money lending services.

In addition, the company offers information technology, corporate, and portfolio management services; and accountancy, legal, secretarial, and cruiser services.

Further, it engages in the trading, retailing, and distribution of swimming apparel and accessories; property investment; holding of club debentures; sub-licensing of trademark rights; manufactures and sales of alcoholic beverages and food; and trading and wholesaling of sportswear.

Additionally, the company provides asset management and investment advisory services; operates park outlets; and owns sports brand of SKINS. The company was formerly known as Liang Shing (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Symphony Holdings Limited in 1997.

Symphony Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) currently trades at HK$1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3000, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4700 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$1.25 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.3000, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2400 (bear) to HK$0.3500 (bull), the price of HK$1.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.

Symphony Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$309M in FY2025 versus HK$323M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$32.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$3.7B (≈ $474M) Small · P/S ratio 11.3 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −10.7% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$334M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −76%, 1223 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2400 Fair Value HK$0.3000 Bull HK$0.3500
Price HK$1.25 · Downside -76.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7300 81
Growth DCF HK$0.3900 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7100 79
Owner Earnings HK$0.3100 HK$0.4300 HK$0.6200 77
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7300 81
Owner Earnings HK$0.3100 HK$0.4300 HK$0.6200 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2600 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 76
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2400 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3500 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3600 70
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.7100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3900 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7100 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1600 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2800 74

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 81
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 29
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.0% a year for the price.

1223 screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 115 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 12.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 16.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.58× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 11.14× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 38.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 44.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)84 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Singapore Land Group U06 2.77 SGD 3.18 SGD +15% vs 1223
Frasers Property Limited TQ5 0.9050 SGD 0.9500 SGD +5% vs 1223
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,550 CLP 3,718 CLP +5% vs 1223
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 16.44 SAR 15.41 SAR −6% vs 1223
The St. Joe Company JOE $70.36 $34.53 −51% vs 1223
Allreal Holding ALLN CHF 197.20 CHF 84.38 −57% vs 1223
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 134.70 CHF 44.83 −67% vs 1223
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.54 ¥0.7900 −69% vs 1223
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹2,255 ₹405.24 −82% vs 1223
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,650 ₹295.84 −82% vs 1223

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Symphony Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Symphony Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1223

Frequently asked questions

Is Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3000 versus a price of HK$1.25, about 76% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1223?
Our model-based fair value for Symphony Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3000 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.25.
What is the quality score of 1223?
Symphony Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3000 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Symphony Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3000, about 76% lower versus a price of HK$1.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2400, optimistic scenario HK$0.3500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Symphony Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$334M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Symphony Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Symphony Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Symphony Holdings Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.005 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2016. Free cash flow covers the dividend 6.48 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Symphony Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by 27.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue fell 2.6 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1223 use?
Our models discount Symphony Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Symphony Holdings Ltd that is +27.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Symphony Holdings Ltd shrank 2.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Symphony Holdings Ltd (+27.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.59 %: that much free cash flow Symphony Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Symphony Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3000 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$1.25. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Symphony Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 1223 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.25, fair value HK$0.3000, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1223?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3000). For Symphony Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.9500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Symphony Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Symphony Holdings Ltd at about HK$3.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.25; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1223?
Our models span a range for Symphony Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2400, base HK$0.3000, optimistic HK$0.3500 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$1.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Balance-sheet figures for Symphony Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity −1.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1223 from its 52-week high?
Symphony Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.25, about 21% below its 52-week high of HK$1.59 and 9% above the low of HK$1.15 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Symphony Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Symphony Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$1.25, calculated fair value HK$0.3000 (−76%), Quality Score 62/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1223 calculated?
We run Symphony Holdings Ltd through 9 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.3000 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Symphony Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$1.25. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3000, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Symphony Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Symphony Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The market capitalisation of Symphony Holdings Ltd is HK$3.7B (≈ $474M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Symphony Holdings Ltd is 11.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The dividend yield of Symphony Holdings Ltd is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The net margin of Symphony Holdings Ltd is −10.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Symphony Holdings Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Symphony Holdings Ltd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
The operating margin of Symphony Holdings Ltd is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Revenue at Symphony Holdings Ltd is growing 16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223)?
Earnings per share at Symphony Holdings Ltd are down 61.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Symphony Holdings Ltd (1223) carry?
The net debt of Symphony Holdings Ltd is HK$1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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