China Metal Products Co (1532) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 9.6B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 28% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (25.18 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Our model range runs from 25.18 TWD (bear) to 31.71 TWD (bull), base 27.75 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 35/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 20.20 TWD – 55.50 TWD · fair‑value band 25.18 TWD – 31.71 TWD · the 21.75 TWD price screens below the 27.75 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
China Metal Products Co (1532) currently trades at 21.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.75 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Metal Products Co generated revenue of 15.7B TWD at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 17.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.18 TWD (bear case) to 31.71 TWD (bull case); at 21.75 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 28%, 1532 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (34.62 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (8.77 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Metal Products Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of cast iron products in Taiwan, the United States, Japan, China, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company manufactures and processes metal parts, residential, building development and leasing, operates international tourist hotel, and retail department store.
Full company description
China Metal Products Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of cast iron products in Taiwan, the United States, Japan, China, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company manufactures and processes metal parts, residential, building development and leasing, operates international tourist hotel, and retail department store. China Metal Products Co., Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Metal Products Co reported revenue of 15.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 18.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 411M TWD in FY2025, compounding −29.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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