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Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Aeon Motor Co Ltd TWD 10.96, price TWD 23.10, upside -52.6%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · TW · ISIN TW0001599009

AM Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Aeon Motor Co Ltd

1599 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 44/100
2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value 10.96 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−52.6%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.4 %/yr in TWD)
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 15/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

56.44 TWD 22.65 TWD Fair Value 10.96 TWD May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 22.65 TWD – 56.44 TWD · fair‑value band 7.22 TWD – 13.68 TWD · the 23.10 TWD price screens above the 10.96 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Aeontek Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells all-terrain vehicle, motorcycles, and electric vehicles under the Aeon brand name in Taiwan. The company offers scooters, motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, other electric vehicles, as well as parts and other equipment. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Aeon Motor Co.,Ltd.

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Aeontek Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells all-terrain vehicle, motorcycles, and electric vehicles under the Aeon brand name in Taiwan. The company offers scooters, motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, other electric vehicles, as well as parts and other equipment. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Aeon Motor Co.,Ltd. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) currently trades at 23.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.96 TWD, 52.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 17.35 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 23.10 TWD price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.77 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 7.22 TWD (bear) to 13.68 TWD (bull), the price of 23.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Aeon Motor Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −15.2%/yr. Reported net income was −61.2M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7B TWD (≈ $52.4M) · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) −0.1600 TWD · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −3.3% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −7.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −53%, 1599 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 7.22 TWD Fair Value 10.96 TWD Bull 13.68 TWD
Price 23.10 TWD · Upside -52.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 3.53 TWD 3.77 TWD 4.13 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.53 TWD 4.09 TWD 4.78 TWD 67
NCAV (Graham) 12.95 TWD 17.35 TWD 25.90 TWD 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.53 TWD 3.77 TWD 4.13 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.53 TWD 4.09 TWD 4.78 TWD 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.95 TWD 17.35 TWD 25.90 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.4% (2020) → −8.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1599 screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Tesla, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −0.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −7.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)43 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tesla, Inc TSLA $354.81 $40.97 −88%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $183.10 $211.47 +15%
BYD Company 002594 ¥83.31 ¥61.43 −26%
General Motors Company GM $77.00 $60.53 −21%
Ferrari N.V RACE $392.85 $432.14 +10%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 353,500 KRW 362,081 KRW +2%
Ford Motor Company F $12.27 $12.59 +3%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.00 €22.09 −49%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €39.73 €106.67 +169%
Honda Motor Co HMC $31.62 $20.31 −36%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aeon Motor Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1599

Frequently asked questions

Is Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.96 TWD versus a price of 23.10 TWD, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1599?
Our model-based fair value for Aeon Motor Co Ltd is 10.96 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1599?
Aeon Motor Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.96 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.22 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.68 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aeon Motor Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.96 TWD, about −53% upside versus a price of 23.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.22 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.68 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Aeon Motor Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Aeon Motor Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Aeon Motor Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aeon Motor Co Ltd it is 10.96 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 23.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aeon Motor Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 1599 trades above its calculated fair value: price 23.10 TWD, fair value 10.96 TWD, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1599?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.96 TWD). For Aeon Motor Co Ltd the two are 12.14 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aeon Motor Co Ltd worth?
The market values Aeon Motor Co Ltd at about 1.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 23.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 10.96 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1599?
Our models span a range for Aeon Motor Co Ltd: cautious scenario 7.22 TWD, base 10.96 TWD, optimistic 13.68 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 23.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aeon Motor Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −2.0%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1599 from its 52-week high?
Aeon Motor Co Ltd trades at 23.10 TWD, about 25% below its 52-week high of 31.00 TWD and 2% above the low of 22.65 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.96 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aeon Motor Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aeon Motor Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 23.10 TWD, calculated fair value 10.96 TWD (−53%), Quality Score 44/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1599 calculated?
We run Aeon Motor Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.96 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Aeon Motor Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 23.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 10.96 TWD, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aeon Motor Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.68 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (7.22 TWD to 13.68 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Aeon Motor Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The market capitalisation of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is 1.7B TWD (≈ $52.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Earnings per share at Aeon Motor Co Ltd are −0.1600 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The dividend yield of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The net margin of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is −3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
The operating margin of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is −7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Revenue at Aeon Motor Co Ltd is growing −11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599)?
Earnings per share at Aeon Motor Co Ltd are growing +645% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) generate?
The free cash flow of Aeon Motor Co Ltd is −128M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) hold?
Aeon Motor Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 449M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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