Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.7B TWD
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 5.48 TWD to 10.96 TWD (+100.0%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.68 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (7.22 TWD to 13.68 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 22.65 TWD – 56.44 TWD · fair‑value band 7.22 TWD – 13.68 TWD · the 23.05 TWD price screens above the 10.96 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Aeon Motor Co Ltd (1599) currently trades at 23.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.96 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aeon Motor Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.0B TWD at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue grew 26.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 449M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.22 TWD (bear case) to 13.68 TWD (bull case); at 23.05 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at -52%, 1599 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (17.35 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.25 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aeontek Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells all-terrain vehicle, motorcycles, and electric vehicles under the Aeon brand name in Taiwan. The company offers scooters, motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, other electric vehicles, as well as parts and other equipment. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Aeon Motor Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
Aeontek Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells all-terrain vehicle, motorcycles, and electric vehicles under the Aeon brand name in Taiwan. The company offers scooters, motorcycles, ATVs, UTVs, other electric vehicles, as well as parts and other equipment. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Aeon Motor Co.,Ltd. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aeon Motor Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −15.2%/yr. Reported net income was −61.2M TWD in FY2025.
1599 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TMN | 3,052 MXN | 3,390 MXN | +11% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,610 MXN | +37% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,783 CZK | +262% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,875 | ₹8,236 | -41% |
| Kia Corporation 000270 | 135,600 KRW | 341,751 KRW | +152% |
| Weichai Power Co 2338 | HK$36.40 | HK$28.46 | -22% |
| Geely Automobile Holdings 80175 | HK$15.50 | HK$19.14 | +23% |
| Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO | ₹11,793 | ₹4,574 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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