Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited (1731) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$862M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.3600 to HK$0.3400 (−5.6%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3604 – HK$1.23 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.4400 · the HK$0.7600 price screens above the HK$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited (1731) currently trades at HK$0.7600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 55.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited generated revenue of HK$239M at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$70.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.4400 (bull case); at HK$0.7600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -55%, 1731 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3700) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells recreational bags and packs. The company manufactures, sells, and trades sport bags, handbags, and luggage bags. It also provides supply chain management services for sports and lifestyle brands.
Full company description
Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells recreational bags and packs. The company manufactures, sells, and trades sport bags, handbags, and luggage bags. It also provides supply chain management services for sports and lifestyle brands. In addition, the company involved in provision of raw material sourcing services; bag product development and design; and property investment. It has operations in the United States, Belgium, Japan, Mainland China, the Netherlands, Italy, and internationally. Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong. Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Prosperous Holdings (Overseas) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Prosperous Industrial (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of HK$239M in FY2025 versus HK$147M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$24.5M in FY2025, compounding +58.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
1731 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $44.37 | $35.63 | -20% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €165.00 | €65.71 | -60% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $106.49 | $125.16 | +18% |
| On Holding ONON | $38.20 | $17.64 | -54% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.11 | ¥13.03 | +8% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $44.36 | $44.14 | -0% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $138.91 | $203.65 | +47% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥31.10 | ¥54.71 | +76% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €29.31 | €10.57 | -64% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $43.26 | $11.69 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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