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Hsin Kuang Steel Company (2031) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 12.8B TWD

HK Hsin Kuang Steel Company 2031 · TW
Price46.50 TWD
Fair Value55.61 TWD
Upside+19.6%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range 35.97 TWD – 70.02 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 55.73 TWD to 55.61 TWD (−0.2%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +21.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (35.97 TWD to 70.02 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from 35.97 TWD (bear) to 70.02 TWD (bull), base 55.61 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

75.70 TWD 32.19 TWD Fair Value 55.61 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 32.19 TWD – 75.70 TWD · fair‑value band 35.97 TWD – 70.02 TWD · the 46.50 TWD price screens below the 55.61 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hsin Kuang Steel Company (2031) currently trades at 46.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 55.61 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hsin Kuang Steel Company generated revenue of 16.3B TWD at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at 13.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 35.97 TWD (bear case) to 70.02 TWD (bull case); at 46.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 20%, 2031 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 55.82 TWD 91.12 TWD 141.55 TWD 80
Residual Income 31.29 TWD 34.20 TWD 46.39 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 23.35 TWD 40.98 TWD 61.53 TWD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 54.52 TWD 94.27 TWD 154.69 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 24.24 TWD 47.35 TWD 82.47 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 23.35 TWD 40.05 TWD 60.39 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 23.52 TWD 40.39 TWD 59.21 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 31.75 TWD 55.73 TWD 80.36 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 33.21 TWD 51.07 TWD 73.43 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 34.10 TWD 51.30 TWD 72.53 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 39.34 TWD 61.93 TWD 88.63 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 22.41 TWD 68.63 TWD 91.13 TWD 54
Lynch FV 14.76 TWD 21.09 TWD 27.42 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 14.76 TWD 21.09 TWD 27.42 TWD 46
EPV 2.52 TWD 5.91 TWD 8.88 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 42.01 TWD 56.02 TWD 70.02 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 42.01 TWD 56.02 TWD 70.02 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 42.01 TWD 56.02 TWD 70.02 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 11.78 TWD 21.64 TWD 31.51 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 9.97 TWD 19.24 TWD 28.50 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 7.83 TWD 18.83 TWD 29.82 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 18.27 TWD 24.49 TWD 36.55 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 55.82 TWD 91.12 TWD 141.55 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 23.35 TWD 40.98 TWD 61.53 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.29 TWD 34.20 TWD 46.39 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 2.52 TWD 5.91 TWD 8.88 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 35.39 TWD 50.56 TWD 65.73 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (51.07 TWD) versus Economic Profit (5.91 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net margin 9.0%
Return on equity 13.6%
Free cash flow 2.1B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 12.7
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) 3.28 TWD
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -31.0%
Net debt 13.4B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited engages in the cutting, stamping, and sale of various steel products in Taiwan. It operates through Steel, Construction, and Leases segments. The company's products portfolio includes steel coils and plates, round steel bars, stainless and alloy steel, special steel, and SuperDyma.

Full company description

Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited engages in the cutting, stamping, and sale of various steel products in Taiwan. It operates through Steel, Construction, and Leases segments. The company's products portfolio includes steel coils and plates, round steel bars, stainless and alloy steel, special steel, and SuperDyma. It also involved in the investment in various businesses comprising manufacturing, securities investment, banking, insurance, etc.; sale of metal products for architecture; manufacture and sale of metal products and energy related equipment; and leasing and warehousing activities. In addition, the company engages in manufacturing and processing of metal structures, steel bridges, steel pipe, architectural components, and steel products; trading of listed marketable securities; and cutting and processing of automobile steel plates. Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited was incorporated in 1967 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hsin Kuang Steel Company reported revenue of 16.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 14.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.8B TWD
Latest YoY
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 14.1B TWD
FY22 17.2B TWD
FY23 16.1B TWD
FY24 14.6B TWD
FY25 16.8B TWD
Net income −21.0%/yr
FY21 2.7B TWD
FY22 394M TWD
FY23 1.7B TWD
FY24 1.4B TWD
FY25 1.1B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.6 pp

of which total revenue +8.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.0 pp

EBIT margin −5.4 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +9.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hsin Kuang Steel Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2031

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 54 · sector 15
HEALTH 70 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hsin Kuang Steel Company (2031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 55.61 TWD versus a price of 46.50 TWD, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2031?
Our model-based fair value for Hsin Kuang Steel Company is 55.61 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 46.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2031?
Hsin Kuang Steel Company has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hsin Kuang Steel Company (2031)?
Hsin Kuang Steel Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2031?
The net profit margin of Hsin Kuang Steel Company is about 9.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hsin Kuang Steel Company pay a dividend?
Hsin Kuang Steel Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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