Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd TWD 52.63, price TWD 46.10, upside +14.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 32.19 TWD – 75.70 TWD · fair‑value band 35.62 TWD – 69.56 TWD · the 46.10 TWD price screens below the 52.63 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited engages in the cutting, stamping, and sale of various steel products in Taiwan. It operates through Steel, Construction, and Leases segments. The company's products portfolio includes steel coils and plates, round steel bars, stainless and alloy steel, special steel, and SuperDyma.
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Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited engages in the cutting, stamping, and sale of various steel products in Taiwan. It operates through Steel, Construction, and Leases segments. The company's products portfolio includes steel coils and plates, round steel bars, stainless and alloy steel, special steel, and SuperDyma. It also involved in the investment in various businesses comprising manufacturing, securities investment, banking, insurance, etc.; sale of metal products for architecture; manufacture and sale of metal products and energy related equipment; and leasing and warehousing activities. In addition, the company engages in manufacturing and processing of metal structures, steel bridges, steel pipe, architectural components, and steel products; trading of listed marketable securities; and cutting and processing of automobile steel plates. Hsin Kuang Steel Company Limited was incorporated in 1967 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) currently trades at 46.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.63 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 50.56 TWD per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the 46.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 21.09 TWD, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 35.62 TWD (bear) to 69.56 TWD (bull), the price of 46.10 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd reported revenue of 16.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 14.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.9B TWD (≈ $468M) · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) 4.56 TWD · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 14%, 2031 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 35.62 TWDFair Value 52.63 TWDBull 69.56 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.51 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs 7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.1% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 417 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.61× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2031
Frequently asked questions
Is Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 52.63 TWD versus a price of 46.10 TWD, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2031?
Our model-based fair value for Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 52.63 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2031?
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 52.63 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 35.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 69.56 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 52.63 TWD, about +14% upside versus a price of 46.10 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 35.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 69.56 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +1.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2031 use?
Our models discount Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd that is +1.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd grew +11.3 % a year. The price currently implies +1.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (+1.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.83 %: that much free cash flow Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd it is 52.63 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 46.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2031 trades below its calculated fair value: price 46.10 TWD, fair value 52.63 TWD, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2031?
No. The price is what the market pays today (46.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (52.63 TWD). For Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd the two are 6.53 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd at about 14.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 46.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 52.63 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2031?
Our models span a range for Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd: cautious scenario 35.62 TWD, base 52.63 TWD, optimistic 69.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 46.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2031?
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 52.63 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2031 from its 52-week high?
Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd trades at 46.10 TWD, about 1% below its 52-week high of 46.55 TWD and 28% above the low of 36.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 52.63 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 46.10 TWD, calculated fair value 52.63 TWD (+14%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2031 calculated?
We run Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 52.63 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 46.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 52.63 TWD, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (35.62 TWD to 69.56 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) come from?
Earnings per share at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd grew +11.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin −5.4 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +9.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The market capitalisation of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 14.9B TWD (≈ $468M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Earnings per share at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd are 4.56 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The dividend yield of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 5.4% (payout 54.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The net margin of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
The operating margin of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Revenue at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is growing −9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031)?
Earnings per share at Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd are growing −31.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd (2031) carry?
The net debt of Hsin Kuang Steel Co Ltd is 13.4B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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