2078 (2078) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$133M

2 2078 2078 · HK

PriceHK$0.1110

Fair ValueHK$0.1400

Upside+26.1%

Quality40/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1300 – HK$0.1400

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.1100 – HK$0.1770 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.1400 · the HK$0.1110 price screens below the HK$0.1400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2078 (2078) currently trades at HK$0.1110, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1400 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 2078 generated revenue of HK$360M at a net margin of -16.4%. Revenue declined 75.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$47.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$360M

Revenue growth (YoY) -75.8%

Net margin -16.4%

Return on equity -8.3%

Free cash flow −HK$65.6M FY2025

Operating margin -74.0%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0200

EPS growth (YoY) +1,104%

Net cash HK$47.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2078 reported revenue of HK$360M in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2021, a compound −33.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$59.1M in FY2025.

Revenue −33.6%/yr

FY21 HK$1.9B

FY22 HK$1.6B

FY23 HK$1.0B

FY24 HK$917M

FY25 HK$360M

Net income

FY21 −HK$341M

FY22 −HK$105M

FY23 HK$28.2M

FY24 HK$28.1M

FY25 −HK$59.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
China Hongqiao Group CHHQY	$29.13	$63.70	+119%
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379	¥17.14	¥41.45	+142%
Aluminum Corporation 601600	¥10.68	¥20.14	+89%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO	₹1,014	₹1,066	+5%
1378 1378	HK$20.06	HK$45.23	+125%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY	kr 97.64	kr 84.83	-13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2078 (2078) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1400 versus a price of HK$0.1110 — about +26% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2078?

Our model-based fair value for 2078 is HK$0.1400 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1110.

What is the quality score of 2078?

2078 has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2078 (2078)?

2078 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$360M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2078?

The net profit margin of 2078 is about -16.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.