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Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd HK$0.19, price HK$0.13, upside +41.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · HK · ISIN KYG688451098

PH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd

2078 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$0.1900 · Undervalued (+41.8%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −27.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.3250 HK$0.0620 Fair Value HK$0.1900 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0620 – HK$0.3250 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$0.1340 price screens below the HK$0.1900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

PanAsialum Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in aluminum products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Canada, Vietnam, and internationally.

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PanAsialum Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in aluminum products in the People's Republic of China, Australia, Canada, Vietnam, and internationally. The company offers partial equipment, such as numerical computer control, finish, automatic frame system, testing facilities, and die design and cutting; heatsink, doors and windows, and solar module frame series electronic products accessories, fences, as well as skirt board, and auto parts and electronic products accessories. Its products are used in electronic product accessories, photovoltaic systems, new energy transportation, shipbuilding, doors and windows curtain walling, medical devices, construction, green energy, and advanced manufacturing applications. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. PanAsialum Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Easy Star Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078) currently trades at HK$0.1340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 29.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1700 (bear) to HK$0.2200 (bull), the price of HK$0.1340 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$360M in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2021, a compound −33.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$59.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$161M (≈ $20.5M) · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200 · Net margin −16.4% · Return on equity −8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.1% · Operating margin −74.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$360M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 42%, 2078 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1700 Fair Value HK$0.1900 Bull HK$0.2200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2900 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5700 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2900 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5700 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−60.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.0% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.5% (2020) → −34.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 79 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +41.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −16.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −74.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −75.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)89 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥16.11 ¥43.06 +167%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$20.72 HK$57.01 +175%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥8.88 ¥12.04 +36%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹977.00 ₹1,026 +5%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 82.38 kr 58.10 −29%
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 7.46 MYR 8.21 MYR +10%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥26.03 ¥38.55 +48%
Alcoa Corporation AA $41.97 $40.16 −4%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥25.72 ¥32.01 +24%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥12.11 ¥35.21 +191%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2078

Frequently asked questions

Is Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1900 versus a price of HK$0.1340, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2078?
Our model-based fair value for Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.1900 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1340.
What is the quality score of 2078?
Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1900 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1900, about +42% upside versus a price of HK$0.1340 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1700, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$360M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.1900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1340. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2078 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1340, fair value HK$0.1900, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2078?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1340); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1900). For Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0560 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$161M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1340; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2078?
Our models span a range for Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1700, base HK$0.1900, optimistic HK$0.2200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1340). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Balance-sheet figures for Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −8.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2078 from its 52-week high?
Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1340, about 24% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1770 and 22% above the low of HK$0.1100 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Aluminum Corporation, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1340, calculated fair value HK$0.1900 (+42%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2078 calculated?
We run Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1340. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1900, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The market capitalisation of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is HK$161M (≈ $20.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Earnings per share at Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd are HK$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The net margin of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is −16.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is −7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
The operating margin of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is −74.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Revenue at Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is growing −75.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −39.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078)?
Earnings per share at Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd are growing +11.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078) generate?
The free cash flow of Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd is −HK$65.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd (2078) hold?
Panasialum Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$47.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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