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Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co (300221) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.1B CNY

GS Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co 300221 · SHE
Price¥14.10
Fair Value¥3.73
Upside-73.6%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.53 – ¥4.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −11.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.53 to ¥4.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.26 ¥3.33 Fair Value ¥3.73 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.33 – ¥18.26 · fair‑value band ¥2.53 – ¥4.97 · the ¥14.10 price screens above the ¥3.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co (300221) currently trades at ¥14.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.73, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 112M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.53 (bear case) to ¥4.97 (bull case); at ¥14.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -74%, 300221 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.27 ¥1.96 ¥3.00 80
Residual Income ¥2.51 ¥2.65 ¥2.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.33 ¥4.06 ¥6.12 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.26 ¥1.98 ¥3.08 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.6700 ¥1.04 ¥1.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.33 ¥4.10 ¥6.46 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.55 ¥4.54 ¥6.95 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.22 ¥3.89 ¥5.71 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.83 ¥3.35 ¥5.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.06 ¥3.65 ¥5.91 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.85 ¥3.20 ¥4.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.59 ¥5.75 ¥7.75 54
Lynch FV ¥1.36 ¥1.94 ¥2.53 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.36 ¥1.94 ¥2.53 46
EPV ¥2.72 ¥3.14 ¥3.50 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.97 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.47 ¥4.61 ¥5.75 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.62 ¥4.81 ¥5.99 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.02 ¥4.29 ¥5.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥3.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.27 ¥1.96 ¥3.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.33 ¥4.06 ¥6.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.51 ¥2.65 ¥2.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.72 ¥3.18 ¥4.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.28 ¥3.25 ¥4.23 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.97) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 50.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 61.2
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800
EPS growth (YoY) +116%
Net debt 112M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of polymer materials in China.

Full company description

Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of polymer materials in China. The company's principal products include PC, PP, ABS, PC/ABS alloy, PA, PBT, PET, PPS, PVC/ABS alloy, packaging materials, flame retardant resins, reinforced toughening resins, plastic alloys, functional masterbatches, and other categories as well as recyclable, new energy, consumer electronics and 5G, 3D printing, electronic chemicals, smart lighting, medical, degradable, automobiles and smart home materials. Its products are used in household appliances, modern agriculture, rail transportation, aircraft, aerospace, equipment, communications, electronics and electrical and architectural decoration, and new household service robots. The company was formerly known as Dongguan Silver Age Plastics Co., Ltd and changed its name to Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd. in December 2006. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥111M in FY2025, compounding +10.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+10.0%
Revenue −0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥2.2B
Net income +10.8%/yr
FY21 ¥73.5M
FY22 −¥5.5M
FY23 ¥27.0M
FY24 ¥51.4M
FY25 ¥111M

300221 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300221

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 38.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 66 · sector 19
PAST 37 · sector 23
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co (300221) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.73 versus a price of ¥14.10, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300221?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co is ¥3.73 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.10.
What is the quality score of 300221?
Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co (300221)?
Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300221?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Silver Age Sci & Tech Co is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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