Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group (300428) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 13.8B CNY

Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• Our model range runs from ¥16.54 (bear) to ¥27.56 (bull), base ¥22.05. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.79 – ¥42.14 · fair‑value band ¥16.54 – ¥27.56 · the ¥19.03 price screens below the ¥22.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group (300428) currently trades at ¥19.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.05, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group generated revenue of 33.4B CNY at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at 7.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.54 (bear case) to ¥27.56 (bull case); at ¥19.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 16%, 300428 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥55.85) versus Asset-Based (¥7.93). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of functional master alloys, recycled cast aluminum alloy materials, and aluminum alloy wheel products.

Full company description

Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of functional master alloys, recycled cast aluminum alloy materials, and aluminum alloy wheel products. It operates through three segments: Aluminum-Based Functional Master Alloys, Recycled Cast Aluminum Alloys, And Aluminum Alloy Wheels. The company offers aluminum-based functional master alloys, aerospace special master alloys fluxes, and other master alloy products; casting aluminium alloy ingots and liquid, wrought aluminium alloys, national aluminium alloy standard samples, and new aluminium alloy materials; and aluminium alloy wheels, lightweight automotive components, and precision molds, as well as retails customized products. Its products are used in automobiles, high-speed rail, power and electric appliances, consumer electronics, communications, aerospace, high-end equipment, and ships. It operates in China, Europe, North America, South America, Japan, South Korea, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia. The company was formerly known as Hebei Sitong New Metal Material Co., Ltd and changed its name to Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. in July 2022. Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is based in Baoding, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group reported revenue of ¥32.1B in FY2025 versus ¥18.6B in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥889M in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.