Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation (300696) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 9.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Share price −6.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.94 – ¥46.39 · fair‑value band ¥3.46 – ¥4.94 · the ¥22.04 price screens above the ¥4.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation (300696) currently trades at ¥22.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.40, implying the stock looks roughly 80.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation generated revenue of 503M CNY at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 358M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.46 (bear case) to ¥4.94 (bull case); at ¥22.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -80%, 300696 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.45) versus Economic Profit (¥3.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation, together with its subsidiary, Chengdu Tangan Aviation Manufacturing Co., Ltd., researches, designs, develops, manufactures and sells military and civil aircraft parts, aero-engine parts, and aerospace large structural parts in China.
Full company description
Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation, together with its subsidiary, Chengdu Tangan Aviation Manufacturing Co., Ltd., researches, designs, develops, manufactures and sells military and civil aircraft parts, aero-engine parts, and aerospace large structural parts in China. The company also offers precision machining parts; special process products; assembly parts, such as bush, bearing and spline, and structural parts; and engine products, including fan case, intermediate case, and outer duct case on combustion chamber. In addition, it provides mounting vehicles, electromechanical simulators, jacks, and other ground support equipment. Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation was founded in 2004 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chengdu ALD Aviation Manufacturing Corporation reported revenue of ¥500M in FY2025 versus ¥614M in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥55.3M in FY2025, compounding −31.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +24.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300696 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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