Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A ¥19.43, price ¥42.92, upside -54.7%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.36 – ¥68.53 · fair‑value band ¥14.37 – ¥24.34 · the ¥42.92 price screens above the ¥19.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. research and development, production, and sales of polymer materials and thermal management system products in China.
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Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. research and development, production, and sales of polymer materials and thermal management system products in China. It offers insulation waterproof tapes, fireproof boards/blankets/tapes, and other fireproof plugging products; rubber adhesive tapes, PVC insulation tapes, and cold shrink tubing products; and electronic moisture-proof plugging products, and automotive door and window sealing strips. Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) currently trades at ¥42.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.43, 54.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥6.09 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥42.92 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥2.03, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥14.37 (bear) to ¥24.34 (bull), the price of ¥42.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 568M CNY in FY2021, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 35.6M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 536.5 · P/S ratio 16.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −55%, 300731 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥14.37Fair Value ¥19.43Bull ¥24.34
Price ¥42.92 · Upside -54.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0387 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.0% vs −10.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 6%
Compare Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 688 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.8% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)536.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B12.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)6.71× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)7· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300731
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.43 versus a price of ¥42.92, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300731?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is ¥19.43 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥42.92.
What is the quality score of 300731?
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥19.43 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥14.37, optimistic scenario ¥24.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥19.43, about −55% upside versus a price of ¥42.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥14.37, optimistic scenario ¥24.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A it is ¥19.43 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ¥42.92. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 300731 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥42.92, fair value ¥19.43, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300731?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥42.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥19.43). For Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥23.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A at about 7.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥42.92; our models calculate a fair value of ¥19.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300731?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥14.37, base ¥19.43, optimistic ¥24.34 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ¥42.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300731 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥42.92, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥68.53 and 49% above the low of ¥28.78 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥19.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ¥42.92, calculated fair value ¥19.43 (−55%), Quality Score 43/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300731 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥19.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥42.92. Our model-based fair value is ¥19.43, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥24.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) come from?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A grew −11.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.3 %, EBIT margin −21.9 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 536.5. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 16.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A are ¥0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 536.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 0.1% (payout 36.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is growing +1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A are growing −92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 242K CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A (300731) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co Ltd Class A is 35.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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