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HG Technologies Co (300847) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

HT HG Technologies Co 300847 · SHE
Price¥14.99
Fair Value¥6.57
Upside-56.2%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.81% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.93 – ¥8.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥7.98 to ¥6.57 (−17.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.76 ¥10.18 Fair Value ¥6.57 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.18 – ¥25.76 · fair‑value band ¥4.93 – ¥8.21 · the ¥14.99 price screens above the ¥6.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

HG Technologies Co (300847) currently trades at ¥14.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.57, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HG Technologies Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 661M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.93 (bear case) to ¥8.21 (bull case); at ¥14.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -56%, 300847 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.34 ¥4.72 76
Growth DCF ¥4.86 ¥6.37 ¥8.67 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.93 ¥5.61 ¥7.29 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.85 ¥6.43 ¥8.90 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.85 ¥9.70 ¥14.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.75 ¥8.31 ¥11.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.83 ¥8.46 ¥11.65 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.11 ¥9.01 ¥12.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.27 ¥7.52 ¥10.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.45 ¥7.63 ¥10.76 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.63 ¥8.02 ¥11.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.63 ¥10.02 ¥13.57 54
Lynch FV ¥2.44 ¥3.48 ¥4.53 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.44 ¥3.48 ¥4.53 46
EPV ¥5.91 ¥6.48 ¥6.96 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.93 ¥6.57 ¥8.21 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.53 ¥6.04 ¥7.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.93 ¥6.57 ¥8.21 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.99 ¥8.53 ¥10.08 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.79 ¥8.27 ¥9.75 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.37 ¥8.09 ¥9.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.52 ¥3.38 ¥5.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.86 ¥6.37 ¥8.67 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.75 ¥8.25 ¥11.27 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.34 ¥4.72 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.17 ¥7.32 ¥8.80 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.93 ¥5.61 ¥7.29 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.02) versus Asset-Based (¥3.38). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow 65.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 36.4
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3900
Dividend yield 0.8%
Net cash 661M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HG Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of printing and copying electrostatic imaging consumables and imaging equipment in China.

Full company description

HG Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of printing and copying electrostatic imaging consumables and imaging equipment in China. The company offers toners, organic photoconductive drums, OPC drums, security enhancement copiers, precision processing products, and other electrostatic imaging special information products. HG Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 is based in Handan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HG Technologies Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥114M in FY2025, compounding +1.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+10.6%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.0B
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income +1.1%/yr
FY21 ¥110M
FY22 ¥109M
FY23 ¥95.4M
FY24 ¥124M
FY25 ¥114M

300847 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HG Technologies Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300847

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 31 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HG Technologies Co (300847) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.57 versus a price of ¥14.99, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300847?
Our model-based fair value for HG Technologies Co is ¥6.57 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.99.
What is the quality score of 300847?
HG Technologies Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HG Technologies Co (300847)?
HG Technologies Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300847?
The net profit margin of HG Technologies Co is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HG Technologies Co pay a dividend?
HG Technologies Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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