Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co (301287) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY

A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range ¥21.97 – ¥54.75 · fair‑value band ¥17.19 – ¥27.46 · the ¥35.30 price screens above the ¥22.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co (301287) currently trades at ¥35.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.92, implying the stock looks roughly 35.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co generated revenue of 582M CNY at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 39.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.19 (bear case) to ¥27.46 (bull case); at ¥35.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -35%, 301287 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥26.41) versus Earnings-Based (¥8.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells sporting goods and fitness equipment in China. It offers aerobic fitness equipment, such as treadmills, exercise bikes, magnetic cars, elliptical machines, and rowing machines; strength fitness equipment, including machines, smith trainers, gantries, single parallel bars, and weightlifting …

Full company description

Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells sporting goods and fitness equipment in China. It offers aerobic fitness equipment, such as treadmills, exercise bikes, magnetic cars, elliptical machines, and rowing machines; strength fitness equipment, including machines, smith trainers, gantries, single parallel bars, and weightlifting beds; and vertical squat trainers, triceps training devices, iso-stretch back and swivel training devices, low pull trainers, horizontal leg bend trainers, leg extension trainers, kick trainers, hips compound training devices, thigh extension training devices, standing calf trainers, butterfly machines, straight arm clip chest training devices, seated chest push trainers, shoulder press training devices, and push shoulder chairs. The company also provides T-shaped rowing trainers, dumbbell flat benches, adjustable abdominal muscle plates and dumbbell chairs, stretching machines, double dumbbell racks, adjustable roman stools, incline and decline bench presses, flat bench presses, high tensile training devices, reverse pedal machines, abdominal flexion training devices, leg bending exercisers, leg bending training devices, seated rowing trainers, seated calf trainers, biceps training chairs, comprehensive shelf equipment, barbell racks, squat racks, and bar knee lifters. In addition, it offers triple horizontal bars, hand and leg massagers, leg presses, buried basketball hoops, mobile basketball hoops, outdoor table tennis tables, and combination trainers; rehabilitation equipment, such as abdominal muscle training devices, waist training devices, butterfly clip chest/butterfly chest expansion trainers, and seated chest push/pull back trainers; and other small fitness equipment. The company exports its products to approximately 20 countries and regions, including the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Junxia Gym Equipment Co., Ltd and changed its name to Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co., Ltd. in November 2023. Jiangsu

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co reported revenue of ¥585M in FY2025 versus ¥702M in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥69.4M in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.

301287 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.