Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co (301538) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −15.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥26.66 (bear) to ¥44.44 (bull), base ¥35.55. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range ¥26.99 – ¥83.17 · fair‑value band ¥26.66 – ¥44.44 · the ¥39.94 price screens above the ¥35.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co (301538) currently trades at ¥39.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.55, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 71.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥26.66 (bear case) to ¥44.44 (bull case); at ¥39.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -11%, 301538 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥62.09) versus Asset-Based (¥8.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co., Ltd engages in the research, design, development, production and sale of modified polymer protective materials in China. The company provides functional protective sleeves and functional monofilaments.
Full company description
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co., Ltd engages in the research, design, development, production and sale of modified polymer protective materials in China. The company provides functional protective sleeves and functional monofilaments. It offers PUR pipe, fiber cloth tape, heat shrink braided tubing, super wear-resistant protective sleeve, flat spiral sheath, nylon non-shrink textile sleeve, braided mesh tube, PET telescopic braided mesh tube, and self-winding textile sleeve; thermal insulation sleeve, silver corrugated pipe, aluminum foil tape, heat shield, aluminum foil fiberglass tube and self-winding tube, and aluminum foil corrugated pipe; and double-layer self-winding textile sleeve. The company also provides lightweight shielding sleeve, self-winding shielding sleeve, and tin-plated copper braided tubing; polyester non-shrink textile sleeve, and nylon non-shrink textile sleeve; silicone fiberglass fireproof pipe, silicone fireproof tube, and high-temperature fireproof pipe; and rodent-proof corrugated pipe, cut-resistant corrugated pipe, PET quick-connect tubing, exhaust pipe insulation layer metallic braided mesh tube, tin-plated copper hook mesh, carpet sleeve, and patterned woven mesh tube. Its products used in automotive, construction machinery, railway, communication electronic, medical care, and other applications. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Jdd Tech New Material Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥467M in FY2021, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥195M in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.
301538 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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