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Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd TWD 3.37, price TWD 12.00, upside -72.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0003018008

LM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd

3018 · TW

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.37 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −22.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -58.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

43.80 TWD 9.30 TWD Fair Value 3.37 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.30 TWD – 43.80 TWD · fair‑value band 2.23 TWD – 4.21 TWD · the 12.00 TWD price screens above the 3.37 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the electromechanical system integration and construction engineering, and waste disposal business for technology plants, industrial plants, and residential buildings.

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Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the electromechanical system integration and construction engineering, and waste disposal business for technology plants, industrial plants, and residential buildings. The company offers high-tech clean room electromechanical systems; electromechanical systems for industrial plants; general building electromechanical systems for apartment buildings and public facilities; and civil engineering and construction services. It also involved in self-use renewable energy generation equipment; investment in the design and construction of clean room electromechanical systems; the design and construction of industrial plant electromechanical systems; trading of electromechanical equipment; wholesale of toys and entertainment products; and research, development, design, and manufacturing of purification system equipment, as well as related technical consulting services. It serves semiconductors, electronics, information technology, optoelectronics, biochemistry, and pharmaceuticals industries. Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co., Ltd. was founded in 1977 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018) currently trades at 12.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.37 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 256.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.23 TWD (bear) to 4.21 TWD (bull), the price of 12.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd reported revenue of 463M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −26.9%/yr. Reported net income was −160M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 891M TWD (≈ $28.0M) · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) −2.16 TWD · Net margin −34.7% · Return on equity −33.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.9% · Operating margin −56.9% · Revenue (TTM) 347M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −72%, 3018 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.23 TWD Fair Value 3.37 TWD Bull 4.21 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 3.73 TWD 5.00 TWD 7.46 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.73 TWD 5.00 TWD 7.46 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−45.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.4% (2020) → −40.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

3018 screens 257% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −58% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −57% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −59% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd · Fair Value
3.37 TWD −257%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3018

Frequently asked questions

Is Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.37 TWD versus a price of 12.00 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3018?
Our model-based fair value for Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is 3.37 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3018?
Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.37 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.23 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.21 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.37 TWD, about −72% upside versus a price of 12.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.23 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.21 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 347M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd it is 3.37 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3018 trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.00 TWD, fair value 3.37 TWD, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3018?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.37 TWD). For Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd the two are 8.63 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd worth?
The market values Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd at about 891M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 3.37 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3018?
Our models span a range for Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd: cautious scenario 2.23 TWD, base 3.37 TWD, optimistic 4.21 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −33.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3018 from its 52-week high?
Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd trades at 12.00 TWD, about 30% below its 52-week high of 17.25 TWD and 29% above the low of 9.30 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.37 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12.00 TWD, calculated fair value 3.37 TWD (−72%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3018 calculated?
We run Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.37 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 12.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 3.37 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.21 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.23 TWD to 4.21 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The market capitalisation of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is 891M TWD (≈ $28.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is 2.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Earnings per share at Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd are −2.16 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The net margin of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is −34.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is −33.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is −11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
The operating margin of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is −56.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Revenue at Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is growing −58.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018)?
Earnings per share at Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd are growing −35.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018) generate?
The free cash flow of Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd is −209M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd (3018) hold?
Lung Ming Green Energy Technology Engineering Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 25.0M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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