ALFORMER Industrial Co (4558) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 890M TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 11.73 TWD to 23.46 TWD (+100.0%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (17.50 TWD to 35.02 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 16.00 TWD – 55.53 TWD · fair‑value band 17.50 TWD – 35.02 TWD · the 18.50 TWD price screens below the 23.46 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
ALFORMER Industrial Co (4558) currently trades at 18.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.46 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.4B TWD. Revenue declined 23.3% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.3B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 17.50 TWD (bear case) to 35.02 TWD (bull case); at 18.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 27%, 4558 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (11.73 TWD) versus Multiples (1.16 TWD). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ALFORMER Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of aluminum customized services. Its aluminum extrusion products include industrial and modular extrusion, airtight windows, curtain walls, solar panels, frames and brackets, sporting goods, automotive, marine, aircraft components, electronic components, furniture components, as well as fabrication and …
Full company description
ALFORMER Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of aluminum customized services. Its aluminum extrusion products include industrial and modular extrusion, airtight windows, curtain walls, solar panels, frames and brackets, sporting goods, automotive, marine, aircraft components, electronic components, furniture components, as well as fabrication and anodizing services. The company also offers aluminum forging products, such as automotive components, bicycle components, mountaineering safety accessories, fitness equipment components, and custom forged parts and components, as well as provides aluminum solar frame and solar mounting products to fit various types of solar modules. In addition, it provides aluminum anodizing services; aluminum doors and windows; and aluminum formwork products. ALFORMER Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is based in Changhua, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ALFORMER Industrial Co reported revenue of 1.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was −19.3M TWD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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