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Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co (4561) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.1B TWD

KN Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co 4561 · TWO
Price41.90 TWD
Fair Value18.35 TWD
Upside-56.2%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.55% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range 13.56 TWD – 21.96 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 11.33 TWD to 18.35 TWD (+62.0%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.96 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

83.10 TWD 20.82 TWD Fair Value 18.35 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 20.82 TWD – 83.10 TWD · fair‑value band 13.56 TWD – 21.96 TWD · the 41.90 TWD price screens above the 18.35 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co (4561) currently trades at 41.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.35 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co generated revenue of 943M TWD at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 47.7M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.56 TWD (bear case) to 21.96 TWD (bull case); at 41.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -56%, 4561 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.46 TWD 3.95 TWD 4.76 TWD 80
Residual Income 16.68 TWD 16.30 TWD 13.57 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 5.27 TWD 5.78 TWD 6.22 TWD 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.40 TWD 3.91 TWD 4.82 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 7.17 TWD 9.04 TWD 12.42 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.16 TWD 8.81 TWD 12.69 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 13.62 TWD 21.71 TWD 32.44 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 7.89 TWD 11.81 TWD 16.48 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.86 TWD 6.72 TWD 8.78 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 9.46 TWD 14.53 TWD 20.15 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 6.06 TWD 8.53 TWD 10.96 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.46 TWD 5.53 TWD 6.25 TWD 54
EPV 5.27 TWD 5.78 TWD 6.22 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.54 TWD 11.49 TWD 12.92 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10.54 TWD 13.06 TWD 16.47 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 10.34 TWD 13.79 TWD 17.23 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 8.37 TWD 11.16 TWD 13.95 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 8.37 TWD 11.16 TWD 13.95 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 11.13 TWD 14.17 TWD 17.20 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 23.48 TWD 30.63 TWD 37.79 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 8.52 TWD 11.31 TWD 14.09 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.64 TWD 15.60 TWD 23.28 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.46 TWD 3.95 TWD 4.76 TWD 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 16.68 TWD 16.30 TWD 13.57 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 5.27 TWD 5.78 TWD 6.22 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 7.30 TWD 10.43 TWD 13.56 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (15.60 TWD) versus Growth DCF (3.95 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 943M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow 8.7M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 56.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.6500 TWD
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.5%
Net debt 47.7M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, fabrication, and marketing of machine tool spindles in Taiwan, China, India, and internationally.

Full company description

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, fabrication, and marketing of machine tool spindles in Taiwan, China, India, and internationally. It offers CNC machining center, tapping center, and gear drive spindles; CNC internal and external grinding spindles; turning center spindles, including A2-4, horizontal and vertical, and gear drive type; and aerostatic spindle. The company also provides square, ball nose, and corner radius end mills; and special cutting tools. Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. was founded in 1983 and is based in Changhua, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co reported revenue of 927M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was 38.4M TWD in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
927M TWD
Latest YoY
−22.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue −9.7%/yr
FY21 1.4B TWD
FY22 1.1B TWD
FY23 1.2B TWD
FY24 1.2B TWD
FY25 927M TWD
Net income −28.3%/yr
FY21 146M TWD
FY22 113M TWD
FY23 160M TWD
FY24 192M TWD
FY25 38.4M TWD

4561 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4561

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 245 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.58× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 38 · sector 35
PAST 11 · sector 21
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co (4561) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.35 TWD versus a price of 41.90 TWD, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4561?
Our model-based fair value for Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co is 18.35 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 41.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4561?
Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co (4561)?
Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 943M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4561?
The net profit margin of Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co pay a dividend?
Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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