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Pos Malaysia Berhad, (4634) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 204M MYR

PM Pos Malaysia Berhad, 4634 · KLSE
Price0.2400 MYR
Fair Value0.0700 MYR
Upside-70.8%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -15.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.0500 MYR – 0.1100 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1100 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.0500 MYR to 0.1100 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.9300 MYR 0.1700 MYR Fair Value 0.0700 MYR Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1700 MYR – 0.9300 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0500 MYR – 0.1100 MYR · the 0.2400 MYR price screens above the 0.0700 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Pos Malaysia Berhad, (4634) currently trades at 0.2400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0700 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pos Malaysia Berhad, generated revenue of 2.3B MYR at a net margin of -15.7%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.6%. Net debt stands at 387M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0500 MYR (bear case) to 0.1100 MYR (bull case); at 0.2400 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -71%, 4634 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 0.0500 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.1100 MYR 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0500 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.1100 MYR 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net margin -15.7%
Return on equity -21.6%
Free cash flow −145M MYR FY2026
Operating margin -31.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.2400 MYR
Net debt 387M MYR FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pos Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides postal and parcel services in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Postal, Aviation, and Logistics.

Full company description

Pos Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides postal and parcel services in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Postal, Aviation, and Logistics. The company offers basic mail services; courier delivery; parcel and logistic solutions by sea, air, and land; direct entry and transhipment; and customised solutions, including mailroom management, direct mail, and over-the-counter services for payment of bills and other financial products and services. It also provides cargo and ground handling, in-flight catering, freight and forwarding, and air cargo transport; and haulage, shipping agency and chartering, and warehousing and distribution services. In addition, the company engages in data and document processing services; internet security products, solutions, and services; buying and selling of gold bars and dinars; and rental of properties. Further, it is involved in printing and insertion of documents for mailing; property investment; Islamic pawn broking; retail business; fulfillment services; supply chain management; consultant and agent marketing services; aircraft maintenance and engineering services; packaging; provision of motor, personal accident, travel, and fire/house owner/house holder insurance; and e-invoice services. The company was formerly known as Pos Malaysia & Services Holdings Bhd and changed its name to Pos Malaysia Berhad in August 2007. Pos Malaysia Berhad was founded in 1800 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Pos Malaysia Berhad, reported revenue of 1.8B MYR in FY2026 versus 2.2B MYR in FY2022, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −209M MYR in FY2026.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
1.8B MYR
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY22 2.2B MYR
FY23 2.0B MYR
FY24 1.9B MYR
FY25 1.9B MYR
FY26 1.8B MYR
Net income
FY22 −336M MYR
FY23 −168M MYR
FY24 −158M MYR
FY25 −203M MYR
FY26 −209M MYR

4634 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pos Malaysia Berhad, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4634

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pos Malaysia Berhad, (4634) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0700 MYR versus a price of 0.2400 MYR, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4634?
Our model-based fair value for Pos Malaysia Berhad, is 0.0700 MYR (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.2400 MYR.
What is the quality score of 4634?
Pos Malaysia Berhad, has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pos Malaysia Berhad, (4634)?
Pos Malaysia Berhad, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4634?
The net profit margin of Pos Malaysia Berhad, is about -15.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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