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Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, (5248) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 1.2B MYR

BA Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, 5248 · KLSE
Price0.9600 MYR
Fair Value2.03 MYR
Upside+111.5%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range 1.52 MYR – 2.54 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 2.37 MYR to 2.03 MYR (−14.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 111% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.52 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.21 MYR 0.4927 MYR Fair Value 2.03 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.4927 MYR – 2.21 MYR · fair‑value band 1.52 MYR – 2.54 MYR · the 0.9600 MYR price screens below the 2.03 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, (5248) currently trades at 0.9600 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.03 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 111.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, generated revenue of 2.3B MYR at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 151M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.52 MYR (bear case) to 2.54 MYR (bull case); at 0.9600 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 111%, 5248 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.48 MYR 1.98 MYR 2.63 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.5700 MYR 0.6900 MYR 1.25 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1.66 MYR 2.55 MYR 3.59 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.48 MYR 2.07 MYR 2.88 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.9900 MYR 1.34 MYR 1.83 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.66 MYR 2.55 MYR 3.71 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.70 MYR 2.63 MYR 3.72 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.56 MYR 2.36 MYR 3.22 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.53 MYR 2.28 MYR 3.32 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.59 MYR 2.33 MYR 3.33 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.51 MYR 2.16 MYR 2.97 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.6300 MYR 2.14 MYR 2.87 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.4900 MYR 0.7000 MYR 0.9100 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.4900 MYR 0.7000 MYR 0.9100 MYR 46
EPV 1.26 MYR 1.39 MYR 1.51 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.4100 MYR 0.7500 MYR 1.03 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.4100 MYR 0.6700 MYR 0.8000 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.52 MYR 2.03 MYR 2.54 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 1.18 MYR 1.57 MYR 1.96 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 1.18 MYR 1.57 MYR 1.96 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 2.63 MYR 3.42 MYR 4.21 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 2.04 MYR 2.63 MYR 3.23 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 1.86 MYR 2.54 MYR 3.22 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.3000 MYR 0.4000 MYR 0.6000 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.48 MYR 1.98 MYR 2.63 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.66 MYR 2.55 MYR 3.59 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.5700 MYR 0.6900 MYR 1.25 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 1.32 MYR 1.53 MYR 1.76 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.29 MYR 1.85 MYR 2.40 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.28 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.4000 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow 144M MYR FY2026
P/E ratio 12.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.0700 MYR
Dividend yield 6.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +38.4%
Net cash 151M MYR FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, distributes and retails of completely built-up Mazda, Kia, XPeng, and Deepal vehicles in Malaysia and the Philippines.

Full company description

Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, distributes and retails of completely built-up Mazda, Kia, XPeng, and Deepal vehicles in Malaysia and the Philippines. It is also involved in distribution and retailing of completely knocked-down mazda and kia vehicles; provision of after-sales services; and distribution and sale of spare parts through appointed dealers. The company was formerly known as Berjaya Auto Berhad and changed its name to Bermaz Auto Berhad in October 2016. Bermaz Auto Berhad was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Shah Alam, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, reported revenue of 2.3B MYR in FY2026 versus 2.3B MYR in FY2022, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 105M MYR in FY2026, compounding −9.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
2.3B MYR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY22 2.3B MYR
FY23 3.5B MYR
FY24 3.9B MYR
FY25 2.6B MYR
FY26 2.3B MYR
Net income −9.4%/yr
FY22 155M MYR
FY23 306M MYR
FY24 346M MYR
FY25 156M MYR
FY26 105M MYR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +1.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 pp

of which total revenue +5.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin −4.3 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5248

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +112% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 17 · sector 9
PAST 63 · sector 20
HEALTH 90 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $70.38 $24.58 -65%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.66 $241.86 +19%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 476.50 TWD 576.75 TWD +21%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.47 $29.62 -49%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $339.16 $610.95 +80%
AutoNation, Inc AN $205.72 $329.77 +60%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA $76.89 $66.27 -14%
Valvoline Inc VVV $38.64 $24.57 -36%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $39.46 $33.81 -14%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$20.83 A$17.66 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, (5248) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.03 MYR versus a price of 0.9600 MYR, about +111% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5248?
Our model-based fair value for Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, is 2.03 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9600 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5248?
Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, (5248)?
Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5248?
The net profit margin of Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, pay a dividend?
Bermaz Auto Berhad, an investment holding company, currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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