Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Swift Haulage Bhd MYR 0.60, price MYR 0.38, upside +60.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range 0.3360 MYR – 0.8396 MYR · fair‑value band 0.4179 MYR – 0.6000 MYR · the 0.3750 MYR price screens below the 0.6000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Swift Haulage Berhad, an investment holding company, provides integrated logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through the Container Haulage, Land Transportation, Warehousing and Container Depot, and Freight Forwarding segments.
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Swift Haulage Berhad, an investment holding company, provides integrated logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through the Container Haulage, Land Transportation, Warehousing and Container Depot, and Freight Forwarding segments. The company offers container haulage services, including the transportation of laden containers to and from seaports and other locations within Peninsular Malaysia, as well as land transport services comprising inland transportation and distribution, cross-border transportation, and specialized transportation services. It also provides warehousing services, such as the storage, handling, and management of goods; rental of warehouse and open yard areas; warehouse operations and management services; e-fulfilment services; storage and transshipment of unladen containers; container cleaning; and container repair services, as well as value-added services, such as repacking, labelling, and palletizing. In addition, the company offers freight forwarding services, which include organizing sea, air, and land freight forwarding; project logistics; and in-plant logistics and ship husbandry services. Further, it offers sales, service, and spare parts dealership services for commercial vehicles; tyre retreading; freight transport arrangement services; repair, maintenance, and configuration of commercial vehicle superstructures; automotive solutions; transportation services; and e-commerce retailing services. The company operates a fleet of 1,600 prime movers, 6,000 cargo trailers, 90 trucks, and 110 tankers. Swift Haulage Berhad was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Klang, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) currently trades at 0.3750 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.6100 MYR per share, and 12 of the 18 models we run sit above the 0.3750 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1700 MYR, and 6 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4179 MYR (bear) to 0.6000 MYR (bull), the price of 0.3750 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Swift Haulage Bhd reported revenue of 772M MYR in FY2025 versus 588M MYR in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 27.4M MYR in FY2025, compounding −12.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 327M MYR (≈ $80.3M) · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 60%, 5303 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4179 MYRFair Value 0.6000 MYRBull 0.6000 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0102 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+69.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +65.8% a year for the price and −0.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swift Haulage Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5303
Frequently asked questions
Is Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6000 MYR versus a price of 0.3750 MYR, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5303?
Our model-based fair value for Swift Haulage Bhd is 0.6000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3750 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5303?
Swift Haulage Bhd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4179 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.6000 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Swift Haulage Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6000 MYR, about +60% upside versus a price of 0.3750 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.4179 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.6000 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Swift Haulage Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 776M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Swift Haulage Bhd pay a dividend?
Swift Haulage Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Swift Haulage Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +69.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5303 use?
Our models discount Swift Haulage Bhd at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Swift Haulage Bhd that is +69.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Swift Haulage Bhd grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies +69.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Swift Haulage Bhd (+69.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.44 %: that much free cash flow Swift Haulage Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Swift Haulage Bhd it is 0.6000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.3750 MYR. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Swift Haulage Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5303 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.3750 MYR, fair value 0.6000 MYR, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5303?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3750 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6000 MYR). For Swift Haulage Bhd the two are 0.2250 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Swift Haulage Bhd worth?
The market values Swift Haulage Bhd at about 327M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.3750 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6000 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5303?
Our models span a range for Swift Haulage Bhd: cautious scenario 0.4179 MYR, base 0.6000 MYR, optimistic 0.6000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.3750 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5303?
Swift Haulage Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.6000 MYR is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 13.4 (reported for FY2025: 12.4). Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 5303?
The PEG ratio of Swift Haulage Bhd is 0.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Balance-sheet figures for Swift Haulage Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5303 from its 52-week high?
Swift Haulage Bhd trades at 0.3750 MYR, about 21% below its 52-week high of 0.4750 MYR and 6% above the low of 0.3526 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6000 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Swift Haulage Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Swift Haulage Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.3750 MYR, calculated fair value 0.6000 MYR (+60%), Quality Score 46/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5303 calculated?
We run Swift Haulage Bhd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6000 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Swift Haulage Bhd currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.3750 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.6000 MYR, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Swift Haulage Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4179 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Swift Haulage Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The market capitalisation of Swift Haulage Bhd is 327M MYR (≈ $80.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Swift Haulage Bhd is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Earnings per share at Swift Haulage Bhd are 0.0300 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The dividend yield of Swift Haulage Bhd is 4.3% (payout 53.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The net margin of Swift Haulage Bhd is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Swift Haulage Bhd is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Swift Haulage Bhd is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
The operating margin of Swift Haulage Bhd is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Revenue at Swift Haulage Bhd is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Swift Haulage Bhd (5303)?
Earnings per share at Swift Haulage Bhd are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Swift Haulage Bhd (5303) carry?
The net debt of Swift Haulage Bhd is 817M MYR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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