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Malu Paper Mills Limited (532728) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹409M

MP Malu Paper Mills Limited 532728 · BSE
Price₹32.11
Fair Value₹6.95
Upside-78.4%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹3.81 – ₹10.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +6.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹3.81 to ₹10.08). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹66.61 ₹24.55 Fair Value ₹6.95 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹24.55 – ₹66.61 · fair‑value band ₹3.81 – ₹10.08 · the ₹32.11 price screens above the ₹6.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Malu Paper Mills Limited (532728) currently trades at ₹32.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.95, implying the stock looks roughly 78.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Malu Paper Mills Limited generated revenue of ₹1.7B at a net margin of -3.0%. Revenue declined 37.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 25.1 (as of Aug 18, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.81 (bear case) to ₹10.08 (bull case); at ₹32.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -78%, 532728 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹3.97 ₹6.65 ₹9.94 80
EV/Revenue ₹3.81 ₹6.95 ₹10.08 43
5Y Revenue Exit ₹3.60 ₹7.35 ₹12.03 39
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹3.89 ₹6.94 ₹10.89 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹3.60 ₹7.35 ₹12.03 39
10Y Revenue Exit ₹3.46 ₹6.68 ₹10.82 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue ₹3.81 ₹6.95 ₹10.08 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹3.97 ₹6.65 ₹9.94 80

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹6.95) versus Growth DCF (₹6.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.5%
Net margin -3.0%
Return on equity -18.5%
P/E ratio 25.1 as of Aug 18, 2026
Operating margin -0.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2480

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Malu Paper Mills Limited manufactures and sells paper in India. It provides newsprint, writing and printing, kraft, and packaging paper. Malu Paper Mills Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Nagpur, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Malu Paper Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹2.8B in FY2025 versus ₹1.7B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹121M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹2.8B
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Revenue +13.1%/yr
FY21 ₹1.7B
FY22 ₹2.1B
FY23 ₹2.3B
FY24 ₹2.7B
FY25 ₹2.8B
Net income
FY21 −₹57.7M
FY22 −₹62.6M
FY23 −₹105M
FY24 ₹9.0M
FY25 −₹121M

532728 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Malu Paper Mills Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/532728

Peer Group

Other · 373 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -38% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FREJO $15.58 $51.90 +233%
533278 533278 ₹409.15 ₹660.78 +62%
Nestl?? India Limited 500790 ₹1,497 ₹191.93 -87%
ITC Limited 500875 ₹279.50 ₹212.74 -24%
Wipro Limited 507685 ₹183.80 ₹193.38 +5%
540376 540376 ₹4,054 ₹1,542 -62%
540777 540777 ₹537.50 ₹149.72 -72%
Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,265 ₹1,983 -12%
Dabur India Limited 500096 ₹413.80 ₹122.93 -70%
540719 540719 ₹1,835 ₹872.41 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Malu Paper Mills Limited (532728) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.95 versus a price of ₹32.11, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 532728?
Our model-based fair value for Malu Paper Mills Limited is ₹6.95 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹32.11.
What is the quality score of 532728?
Malu Paper Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Malu Paper Mills Limited (532728)?
Malu Paper Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 532728?
The net profit margin of Malu Paper Mills Limited is about -3.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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