SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.27, price S$0.33, upside -17.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0557 SGD – 0.3649 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1686 SGD – 0.4065 SGD · the 0.3250 SGD price screens above the 0.2681 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Soon Lian Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the supply of aluminum alloy products in Singapore, Malaysia, China, Taiwan, Indonesia, and internationally. It operates through Precision Engineering, Marine, Stockists and Traders, and Other Customers segments.
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Soon Lian Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the supply of aluminum alloy products in Singapore, Malaysia, China, Taiwan, Indonesia, and internationally. It operates through Precision Engineering, Marine, Stockists and Traders, and Other Customers segments. The company offers aluminum plates and sheets, rods and bars, extrusions, special products, and other metal products. Its products are used as precision parts for electronic equipment, precision instruments, medical instrumentation, semiconductor equipment, automated assembly lines, pharmaceutical machinery, and robotics; for shipbuilding-hulls, decks, superstructures, and cabins of light crafts, including catamarans, pleasure crafts, patrol boats, crew boats, rescue boats, speed boats, and ferries; and for items in the aircraft industry, oil tankers, automotive parts, rail coaches, truck frames, bridges, towers, and products used in construction and fabrication. The company serves the semiconductor, precision engineering, marine, oil and gas, aerospace and space, stockist and trader, commercial, and other industries. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Singapore. Soon Lian Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Soon Tien Holdings Pte. Ltd.
Stock analysis
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD) currently trades at 0.3250 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2681 SGD, 17.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.24 SGD per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the 0.3250 SGD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3000 SGD, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1686 SGD (bear) to 0.4065 SGD (bull), the price of 0.3250 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 78.0M SGD in FY2025 versus 53.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.8M SGD in FY2025, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 35.1M SGD (≈ $27.4M) · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) 0.0400 SGD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −18%, 5MD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1686 SGDFair Value 0.2681 SGDBull 0.4065 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0271 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+43.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+42.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 8%
Compare SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 77 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−17.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5MD
Frequently asked questions
Is SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2681 SGD versus a price of 0.3250 SGD, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5MD?
Our model-based fair value for SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.2681 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3250 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5MD?
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2681 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1686 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4065 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2681 SGD, about −18% upside versus a price of 0.3250 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1686 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.4065 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 79.4M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED pay a dividend?
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.2681 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.3250 SGD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5MD trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3250 SGD, fair value 0.2681 SGD, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5MD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3250 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2681 SGD). For SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0569 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 35.1M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.3250 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2681 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5MD?
Our models span a range for SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.1686 SGD, base 0.2681 SGD, optimistic 0.4065 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.3250 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5MD?
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.2681 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Balance-sheet figures for SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5MD from its 52-week high?
SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.3250 SGD, about 11% below its 52-week high of 0.3649 SGD and 63% above the low of 0.2000 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2681 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Aluminum Corporation, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.3250 SGD, calculated fair value 0.2681 SGD (−18%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5MD calculated?
We run SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2681 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.3250 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.2681 SGD, about −18% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.1686 SGD to 0.4065 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The market capitalisation of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 35.1M SGD (≈ $27.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Earnings per share at SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED are 0.0400 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The dividend yield of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.2% (payout 10.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The net margin of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
The operating margin of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Revenue at SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing −4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD)?
Earnings per share at SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing −36.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD) generate?
The free cash flow of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is −2.8M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED (5MD) carry?
The net debt of SOON LIAN HOLDINGS LIMITED is 563K SGD (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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