Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co (600197) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.9B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range (¥6.43 to ¥12.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.52 – ¥34.69 · fair‑value band ¥6.43 – ¥12.00 · the ¥10.34 price screens above the ¥8.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co (600197) currently trades at ¥10.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.41, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 101M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.43 (bear case) to ¥12.00 (bull case); at ¥10.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -19%, 600197 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.02) versus DCF Models (¥5.46). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the wine business in China. Its business areas include liquor, cogeneration, packaging and printing, glass products, and tourism service industries. The company sells its wines under the Yiliwang Wine, Yili No. 1 Cellar, 52 Degree Yili No.1 Cellar, 52 degrees Yili No.

Full company description

Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the wine business in China. Its business areas include liquor, cogeneration, packaging and printing, glass products, and tourism service industries. The company sells its wines under the Yiliwang Wine, Yili No. 1 Cellar, 52 Degree Yili No.1 Cellar, 52 degrees Yili No. 1 Cellar, Yili Kaiyun T01, Yili Fengtan, Yili Fengtan Collection, Yili Laojiano, Yili Laojiao Great Xinjiang, Yili old wine, Yilit Song, Yilit music, Yilirouya, Elite Navigator, Yili Daqu, Yili Laojiano Collection Edition, Yili General Liquor, Yili impression, Elite Greater Xinjiang, and Yili Daqu Greater Xinjiang liquor brand names. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Xinyuan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xinjiang Yilite Industry Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥216M in FY2025, compounding −8.8%/yr from FY2021.

600197 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.