Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd (600778) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 1.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.41 – ¥10.00 · fair‑value band ¥0.7000 – ¥1.17 · the ¥5.57 price screens above the ¥0.9300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd (600778) currently trades at ¥5.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9300, implying the stock looks roughly 83.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 425M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7000 (bear case) to ¥1.17 (bull case); at ¥5.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -83%, 600778 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.90) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd operates as a commercial retail enterprise in China. It operates shopping centers, department stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores. The company also engages in travel agency, logistics, wholesale, and real estate development and sale, as well as retailing of petroleum products and lubricants.
Full company description
Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd operates as a commercial retail enterprise in China. It operates shopping centers, department stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores. The company also engages in travel agency, logistics, wholesale, and real estate development and sale, as well as retailing of petroleum products and lubricants. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Urumqi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Youhao(Group)Co.,Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.2M in FY2025.
600778 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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