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Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) Co (600785) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

Price¥15.43
Fair Value¥7.43
Upside-51.8%
Quality90/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.45 – ¥11.32

Analysis

Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) Co (600785) currently trades at ¥15.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.43 — implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in commercial retail, logistics, and commercial property leasing businesses in China. The company operates department stores, shopping centers, supermarket chains, electrical appliance retail stores, and telecommunication chains. It offers its products under the Xinbai Department Store, Xinbai Supermarket, and Xinbai Electrical Appliances brand names. The company was formerly known as Yinchuan Xinhua Department Store Co., Ltd. Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Yinchuan, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.