Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd (600857) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 770% above our fair value of ¥2.63.
As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd is ¥2.63 per share against a price of ¥22.86, so the fair value sits 89% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +28.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.11 – ¥22.86 · fair‑value band ¥2.39 – ¥2.94 · the ¥22.86 price screens above the ¥2.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd (600857) currently trades at ¥22.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.63, implying the stock looks roughly 769.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.67 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥22.86 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.21, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd generated revenue of 358M CNY at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue declined 65.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 401M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Scenario range: ¥2.39 (bear) to ¥2.94 (bull), the price of ¥22.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −89%, 600857 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1135 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.67) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.21). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ningbo Zhongbai Co., Ltd. primarily operates department stores in China. It is involved in the wholesale, retail, and online sales of gold, jewelry, textiles, clothing, cosmetics, bags, shoes and hats, glasses, daily necessities, handicrafts, toys, cultural, sports supplies and equipment, mechanical equipment, hardware and electrical appliances, household …
Full company description
Ningbo Zhongbai Co., Ltd. primarily operates department stores in China. It is involved in the wholesale, retail, and online sales of gold, jewelry, textiles, clothing, cosmetics, bags, shoes and hats, glasses, daily necessities, handicrafts, toys, cultural, sports supplies and equipment, mechanical equipment, hardware and electrical appliances, household appliances, electronic products, communication equipment, building decoration materials, and furniture; self-operated and agency import and export of various goods and technologies; property services, industrial project investment; house rental; and indoor parking services. The company was formerly known as Hit. Shouchuang Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ningbo Zhongbai Co., Ltd. in May 2015. Ningbo Zhongbai Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd reported revenue of 459M CNY in FY2025 versus 834M CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was 32.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −2.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600857 screens 770% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Ningbo Zhongbai Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.43 MYR | 1.52 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 960.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +1% |
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