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Ningbo Shanshan Co (600884) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 27.9B CNY

NS Ningbo Shanshan Co 600884 · SHG
Price¥12.42
Fair Value¥5.02
Upside-59.6%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.63 – ¥5.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥6.14 to ¥5.02 (−18.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.63 to ¥5.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥41.39 ¥6.12 Fair Value ¥5.02 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.12 – ¥41.39 · fair‑value band ¥2.63 – ¥5.02 · the ¥12.42 price screens above the ¥5.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Shanshan Co (600884) currently trades at ¥12.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.02, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Shanshan Co generated revenue of 22.2B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. Net debt stands at 8.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.63 (bear case) to ¥5.02 (bull case); at ¥12.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -60%, 600884 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.89 ¥6.21 ¥12.00 80
Residual Income ¥6.96 ¥6.72 ¥5.40 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.03 ¥10.58 ¥17.98 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.95 ¥6.67 ¥13.40 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.00 ¥8.66 ¥17.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.03 ¥10.83 ¥19.01 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.14 ¥17.43 ¥29.56 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.78 ¥3.93 ¥6.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.06 ¥9.41 ¥18.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.40 ¥14.33 ¥27.27 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.13 ¥4.26 ¥7.32 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.39 ¥7.11 ¥9.83 54
Lynch FV ¥1.94 ¥2.77 ¥3.60 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.94 ¥2.77 ¥3.60 46
EPV ¥5.55 ¥6.68 ¥7.66 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.20 ¥4.57 ¥7.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.20 ¥3.86 ¥4.80 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.60 ¥3.47 ¥4.33 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.60 ¥3.47 ¥4.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.60 ¥3.47 ¥4.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.07 ¥9.82 ¥12.57 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.31 ¥15.48 ¥19.64 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.97 ¥9.03 ¥12.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.89 ¥6.55 ¥9.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.89 ¥6.21 ¥12.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.03 ¥10.58 ¥17.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.96 ¥6.72 ¥5.40 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.55 ¥6.68 ¥7.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.63 ¥3.76 ¥4.89 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.66) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 22.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow 690M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.5
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3500
EPS growth (YoY) +927%
Net debt 8.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Shanshan Co.,Ltd. provides lithium battery materials in China, Taiwan, and internationally. It offers lithium-ion battery materials; cathode materials, such as lithium cobalt oxide products, multi-material series products, lithium manganese oxide products, and ternary precursors; and anode material products, including synthetic and natural graphite, …

Full company description

Ningbo Shanshan Co.,Ltd. provides lithium battery materials in China, Taiwan, and internationally. It offers lithium-ion battery materials; cathode materials, such as lithium cobalt oxide products, multi-material series products, lithium manganese oxide products, and ternary precursors; and anode material products, including synthetic and natural graphite, mesophase carbon microbeads, composite graphite, and silicon anode materials. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Ningbo, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Shanshan Co reported revenue of ¥21.6B in FY2025 versus ¥20.7B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥458M in FY2025, compounding −39.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
21.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+16.7%
Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY21 ¥20.7B
FY22 ¥21.7B
FY23 ¥19.1B
FY24 ¥18.7B
FY25 ¥21.6B
Net income −39.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.3B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥765M
FY24 −¥367M
FY25 ¥458M

600884 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Shanshan Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600884

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 60 · sector 19
PAST 14 · sector 23
HEALTH 88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Shanshan Co (600884) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.02 versus a price of ¥12.42, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600884?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Shanshan Co is ¥5.02 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.42.
What is the quality score of 600884?
Ningbo Shanshan Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Shanshan Co (600884)?
Ningbo Shanshan Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600884?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Shanshan Co is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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