Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd ¥6.95, price ¥10.06, upside -30.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.00 – ¥16.12 · fair‑value band ¥5.21 – ¥8.69 · the ¥10.06 price screens above the ¥6.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Xinjiang Joinworld Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally.
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Xinjiang Joinworld Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally. The company offers aluminum, electronic aluminum foil, medium and high voltage electrode foil, corrosion foil, etched foil, chemical foil, formed foil, aluminum alloys, and other electronic components. Its aluminum products are used in electronics, integrated circuits, and other fields, such as electronic aluminum foil, electronic guide wire, and alumina powder; and electronic consumer goods, energy-saving wires, automobile engines, automobile and architectural decoration, and other fields, including electronics, electricity, transportation, and construction, as well as for the production of electrode foils and aluminum electrolytic capacitors. In addition, the company provides general road cargo and air transportation, freight forwarding, warehousing, and loading and unloading; property management and house leasing; container logistics and leasing, and supply chain services; industrial furnaces and supporting equipment; mechanical and electrical equipment and components; metal doors and windows; electronic materials; technical research and development; engineering design; and consulting services for aluminum, related alloy materials, and aluminum processing products, as well as for non-ferrous metals and electronic materials. Further, it is involved in the import and export of goods and technologies; mining development, research, production, and sales of magnesium products; non-ferrous metal rolling processing; and investment activities. Xinjiang Joinworld Co., Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Urumqi, China.
Stock analysis
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888) currently trades at ¥10.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.95, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥7.40 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥10.06 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥0.9800, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥5.21 (bear) to ¥8.69 (bull), the price of ¥10.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 662M CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.6B CNY (≈ $2.3B) · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 1.72 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4900 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −31%, 600888 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥5.21Fair Value ¥6.95Bull ¥8.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2633 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.3% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 29%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−31% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.00× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA16.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.47× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 26
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600888
Frequently asked questions
Is Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.95 versus a price of ¥10.06, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600888?
Our model-based fair value for Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is ¥6.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.06.
What is the quality score of 600888?
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.21, optimistic scenario ¥8.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.95, about −31% upside versus a price of ¥10.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.21, optimistic scenario ¥8.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd it is ¥6.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.06. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600888 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.06, fair value ¥6.95, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600888?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.95). For Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd the two are ¥3.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd at about 15.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600888?
Our models span a range for Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.21, base ¥6.95, optimistic ¥8.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600888?
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.4, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 16.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 600888?
The PEG ratio of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 1.47 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600888 from its 52-week high?
Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd trades at ¥10.06, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥16.12 and 34% above the low of ¥7.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, Aluminum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.06, calculated fair value ¥6.95 (−31%), Quality Score 33/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600888 calculated?
We run Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥10.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.95, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The market capitalisation of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 15.6B CNY (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 1.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd are ¥0.4900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The dividend yield of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 1.3% (payout 26.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The net margin of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
The operating margin of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Revenue at Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd are growing +46.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888) generate?
The free cash flow of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is −3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd (600888) carry?
The net debt of Xinjiang Joinworld Co Ltd is 2.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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