Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co (601609) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 18.1B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.66 – ¥14.75 · fair‑value band ¥4.72 – ¥7.86 · the ¥10.45 price screens above the ¥6.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co (601609) currently trades at ¥10.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.29, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co generated revenue of 134B CNY at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 33.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at 7.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.72 (bear case) to ¥7.86 (bull case); at ¥10.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -40%, 601609 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥9.88) versus Asset-Based (¥4.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells copper-based products in China and internationally. The company offers high precision bronze strip, brass strips, and copper plate and strips; copper valves, gas valves, cast steel valves, stainless steel valves, sanitary wares, water meters, and various pipe fittings; gate valves, ball valves, …

Full company description

Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells copper-based products in China and internationally. The company offers high precision bronze strip, brass strips, and copper plate and strips; copper valves, gas valves, cast steel valves, stainless steel valves, sanitary wares, water meters, and various pipe fittings; gate valves, ball valves, stop valves, check valves, filter ,temperature -sensing valves,reducing valves ,vent valves ,corrugated pipes, water meter, stopcock, water injection, and well choke. It also imports and exports non-ferrous metal materials and mineral products, such as copper, zinc, nickel, machinery and equipment, plastic raw materials, chemical raw materials, household appliances, textiles and clothing, light industrial crafts, building materials, decoration materials, hardware and machinery, solar products, copper products, and auto parts. In addition, the company provides copper rod, copper ingots, and round copper rod; copper rod; enameled wires; galvanized magnets, phosphating treatment, nickel-plated magnets, efro plating, special-shaped magnets, round and ring magnets, car magnets, motor magnets, and square magnets; electrolytic copper; and electromagnetic wires. It serves new energy vehicles, clean energy, rail transportation, communications electronics, wind power generation, 5G communications, and smart cities industries. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Company and changed its name to Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co., Ltd. in December 2000. Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥125B in FY2025 versus ¥81.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥752M in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

601609 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

Peer Group

Copper · 58 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.